Yash Management &tellite (BOM:511601) Predictability Rank


BOM:511601 Yash Management & Satellite Ltd BOM:511601
66 GF Score
Price ₹9.75
GF Value ₹10.16
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Yash Management &tellite Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Yash Management &tellite Predictability Rank Related Terms

BOM:511601
66GF Score
Yash Management & Satellite Ltd BOM:511601
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Yash Management &tellite Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Yash Management &tellite (BOM:511601) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yash Management &tellite stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹9.75 is trading 4% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹10.16. GuruFocus considers Yash Management &tellite to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BOM:511601:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: ₹10.16 vs. price of ₹9.75 (4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOM:511601 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Yash Management &tellite Business Description

Address Off New Link Road, Office No. 303, Morya Landmark - I, Opposite Infiniti Mall, Andheri (West), Mumbai, MH, IND, 400053
Yash Management & Satellite Ltd is a trading company. It is engaged in business activities, including indigenous wholesale trading and merchant imports & exports, especially in agricultural products like food grains, pulses, oil seeds, etc., and metals like copper, iron, semi-precious metals, precious metals, textile products, and all types of industrial products. The company has two reportable segments which consist of Trading Activities, and Other Activities. It generates revenues from Trading Activities.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOM:511601

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹9.75
Price
₹10.16
GF Value