BRQSF (Borqs Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is Borqs Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Borqs Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Borqs Technologies Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Borqs Technologies Inc (OTCPK:BRQSF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

7 Shing Yip Street, Office B, 21st Floor, Legend Tower, Kwun Tong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG

Website

https://www.borqs.com

Borqs Technologies Inc is a provider of software development services and products, providing customizable, differentiated, and scalable Android-based smart connected devices and cloud service solutions. The company generates revenue in the form of software, and hardware revenue. A substantial portion of its revenue is generated in the form of hardware revenue which it earns for manufacturing customized products like trackers and smart watches, ruggedized handsets, tablets and smart phones, and mobile connectivity modules for its customers. Its geographical segments include the United States which is its key revenue-generating market, China, India, and the rest of the world.

Executives

Bill Huang	director	6190 CORNERSTONE COURT, SUITE 202, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Asset Horizon International Ltd	10 percent owner	FLAT C, 8/F., JONSIM PLACE, 228 QUEEN'S ROAD EAST, HONG KONG K3 000 000
Zhengqi International Holding Ltd	10 percent owner	40 WALL STREET, 28TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10005
George Thangadurai	officer: EVP and President of Int Bus	6190 CORNERSTONE COURT, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Simon Sun	officer: EVP & Co-GM of Prod. Bus. Unit	6190 CORNERSTONE COURT, SUITE 202, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Wong Joseph Wai Leung	director	6190 CORNERSTONE COURT, SUITE 202, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Gene Wuu	officer: EVP & GM of Cloud Bus Unit	6190 CORNERSTONE COURT, SUITE 202, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Hareesh Ramanna	officer: EVP and GM of Cloud Bus Unit	6190 CORNERSTONE COURT, SUITE 202, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Ye Eric Tao	director	6190 CORNERSTONE COURT, SUITE 202, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Pat Chan	director, officer: Chair. of the Board, CEO & Pre	UTSTARCOM, INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Anthony K Chan	officer: CFO, EVP Corp. Finance	32108 ALVARADO BLVD., UNIT 138, UNION CITY CA 94587
Intel Corp	10 percent owner	2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, RNB-4-151, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Bob Li	officer: EVP Corp Affairs & China Sale	6190 CORNERSTONE COURT, SUITE 202, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Norwest Venture Partners X L P	10 percent owner	525 UNIVERSITY AVE SUITE 800, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Jian Tu	director, officer: President & Chairman	40 WALL STREET, 28TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10005