Weed (BUDZ) Predictability Rank

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What is Weed Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Weed Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Weed Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Weed Inc (OTCPK:BUDZ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

4920 North Post Trail, Tucson, AZ, USA, 85750

Website

https://www.weedincusa.com

Weed Inc is working on or planning for several different business opportunities in the cannabis and hemp field, including, but not limited to both indoor and outdoor grows, cultivations, and harvest for research, product development, processing, and manufacturing of both Pharma and non-Pharma products, services, therapeutics, and treatments on a global basis for both the Medical Cannabis and Hemp global market space.

Executives

Nicole M Breen	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Secretary/Treasurer	4920 N. POST TRAIL, TUCSON AZ 85750
Elliot Kwestel	director	5 AUERBACH LANE, LAWRENCE NY 11559
Lawrence G Dykers	director	11924 N CENTAURUS PLACE, ORO VALLEY AZ 85737
Glynn A Burkhardt	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Senior Vice President	3400 E. SPEEDWAY BLVD., SUITE 118-300, TUCSON AZ 85716
Roger Mccaslin	director	11924 N. CENTAURUS PLACE, ORO VALLEY AZ 85737
Glenn E. Martin	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Chairman of BOD	4920 N. POST TRAIL, TUCSON AZ 85750
Robert A Metz	director, officer: Vice President	3400 E. SPEEDWAY BLVD., SUITE 118-300, TUCSON AZ 85716
Robert A Leitzman	director, officer: CFO, CAO and V.P.	3400 E. SPEEDWAY BLVD., SUITE 118-300, TUCSON AZ 85716
Glynn A. Burkhardt	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Senior V.P.	11924 N. CENTAURUS PLACE, ORO VALLEY AZ 85737
Donald J Steinberg	director, officer: Former Officer and Director	3223 SUMAC ROAD, FALLBROOK CA 92028