ClearPoint Neuro (ClearPoint Neuro) Predictability Rank

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What is ClearPoint Neuro Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

ClearPoint Neuro Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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ClearPoint Neuro (ClearPoint Neuro) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » ClearPoint Neuro Inc (NAS:CLPT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

120 S. Sierra Avenue, Suite 100, Solana Beach, CA, USA, 92075

Website

https://www.clearpointneuro.com

ClearPoint Neuro Inc is a medical device company based in the United States. It develops and commercializes platforms for performing minimally invasive surgical procedures in the brain and heart under direct, intra-procedural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) guidance. The company's ClearPoint system, which is in commercial use in the United States, is used to perform minimally invasive surgical procedures in the brain and ClearTrace is used to perform minimally invasive surgical procedures in the heart. The company's products and product candidates include ClearPoint neuro system, MRI-guided drug delivery, and Thermal therapy system.

Executives

Lynnette C Fallon	director	108 CHERRY HILL DRIVE, BEVERLY MA 01915
Linda M. Liau	director	120 S. SIERRA AVENUE, SUITE 100, SOLANA BEACH CA 92075
Mazin Sabra	officer: Chief Operating Officer	120 S. SIERRA AVENUE, SUITE 100, SOLANA BEACH CA 92075
Joseph Michael Burnett	director, officer: CEO and President	C/O MRI INTERVENTIONS, INC., 5 MUSICK, IRVINE CA 92618
L. Jeremy Stigall	officer: GM, Biologics & Drug Delivery	120 S. SIERRA AVENUE, SUITE 100, SOLANA BEACH CA 92075
Danilo D'alessandro	officer: Vice President, Finance	5 MUSICK, IRVINE CA 92618
Harold A Hurwitz	officer: Chief Financial Officer
R John Fletcher	director	C/O VYANT BIO, INC., 201 ROUTE 17 NORTH, 2ND FLOOR, RUTHERFORD NJ 07070
Girin Pascal E R	director	C/O MRI INTERVENTIONS, INC., 5 MUSICK, IRVINE CA 92618
B Kristine Johnson	director	366 FERNDALE RD S, WAYZATA MN 55391
Timothy T. Richards	director	ONE COMMERCE SQUARE, SUITE 2550, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Matthew B. Klein	director	C/O PTC THERAPEUTICS, INC., 100 CORPORATE COURT, SOUTH PLAINFIELD NJ 07080
Marcio Souza	director	C/O PTC THERAPEUTICS, INC., 100 CORPORATE COURT, SOUTH PLAINFIELD NJ 07080
Voyager Therapeutics, Inc.	10 percent owner	75 HAYDEN AVENUE, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Wendelin C Maners	officer: Vice President, Marketing	ONE COMMERCE SQUARE, SUITE 2550, MEMPHIS TN 38103