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Cleanspark (Cleanspark) Predictability Rank


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What is Cleanspark Predictability Rank?

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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Cleanspark Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Cleanspark Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Cleanspark (Cleanspark) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2370 Corporate Circle, Suite 160, Henderson, NV, USA, 89074
Cleanspark Inc is a bitcoin mining company. Through CleanSpark, Inc., and the Company's wholly owned subsidiaries, the company mines bitcoin. The company entered the bitcoin mining industry through its acquisition of ATL. Bitcoin mining is the sole reportable segment of the company.
Executives
Larry Mcneill director 1185 SOUTH 1800 WEST, SUITE 3, WOODS CROSS UT 84087
Gary Anthony Vecchiarelli officer: Chief Financial Officer 6980 OBANNON DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89117
Roger Paul Beynon director P.O. BOX 1268, BOUNTIFUL UT 84011
Thomas Leigh Wood director 70 NORTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 105, BOUNTIFUL UT 84010
Amanda Cavaleri director 2370 CORPORATE CIRCLE, SUITE 160, HENDERSON NV 89074
Zachary Bradford director, officer: CEO and President 2391 SOUTH 1560 WEST, WOODS CROSS UT 84087
S. Matthew Schultz director, officer: Executive Chairman 2391 SOUTH 1560 WEST, WOODS CROSS UT 84087
Amer Tadayon officer: Chief Revenue Officer 1185 S. 1800 WEST, SUITE 3, WOODS CROSS UT 84087
Lori Love officer: Chief Financial Officer 70 NORTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 105, BOUNTIFUL UT 84010
Anthony M Vastola officer: Chief Strategy Officer 70 NORTH MAIN STREET, STE. 105, BOUNTIFUL UT 84010
Amanda Kabak officer: Chief Technology Officer 70 NORTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 105, BOUNTIFUL UT 84010
Brian Huber director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 70 NORTH MAIN STREET, STE. 105, BOUNTIFUL UT 84010
Michael Gary Barrett officer: COO 2391 SOUTH 1560 WEST, WOODS CROSS UT 84087
Bruce Lybbert director, 10 percent owner, officer: Officer 2391 SOUTH 1560 WEST, WOODS CROSS UT 84087
Burkeley J Priest director, officer: Pres, Sec, Treas & Director PO BOX 573633, MURRAY UT 84157