CarbonMeta Technologies (CarbonMeta Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is CarbonMeta Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

CarbonMeta Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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CarbonMeta Technologies (CarbonMeta Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » CarbonMeta Technologies Inc (OTCPK:COWI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

13110 NE 177th Place, Woodinville, WA, USA, 98072

Website

https://www.carbonmetatech.com

CarbonMeta Technologies Inc is environmental research and development company that is commercializing technologies for processing organic wastes into hydrogen and high-value carbon products economically and sustainably.

Executives

Strategic Tactical Asset Trading Llc	other: Consultant	1926 HOLLYWOOD BLVD, SUITE 210, HOLLYWOOD FL 33020
Shanna Louise Gerrard	officer: Corporate Secretary	131 WILDWOOD DR., PRESCOTT AZ 86305
Jon Kd Mandrell	director, officer: Secretary	12208 NE 162ND STREET, BOTHELL WA 98011
Linda Robison	officer: Corporate Secretary	2659 W. GULF DRIVE, UNIT B-102, SANIBEL FL 33957
Charles H House	director	2464 IRON MOUNTAIN DRIVE, PARK CITY UT 84060
Lloyd Spencer	director, officer: CEO, Treasurer	18529 NE 184TH STREET, WOODINVILLE WA 98072
John Kroon	director	2960 COVE TRACE, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22911
Eugene Gartlan	officer: Chief Financial Officer	17105 SAN CARLOS BLVD., A6-151, FT. MYERS BEACH FL 33931
Jerry E Horne	10 percent owner	14970 CALEB DRIVE, FT. MYERS FL 33908
Walter Weisel	10 percent owner, officer: CEO	17105 SAN CARLOS BLVD, FORT MYERS BEACH FL 33931
Sheri Aws	officer: Vice President	17105 SAN CARLOS BLVD, FORT MYERS BEACH FL 33931
Leroy Johnson	officer: CFO	104 SOUTH ADELAIDE, FENTON MI 11430
Craig W Conklin	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Operating Officer and VP	6241 TIDEWATER ISLAND CIRCLE, FORT MYERS FL 33908
Gary F Mcnear	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Financial Officer and VP	11451 WELLFLEET DRIVE, FORT MYERS FL 33908
Martin Nielson	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	101 FIRST STREET, PMB 493, LOS ALTOS CA 94022