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Diamondhead Casino (Diamondhead Casino) Predictability Rank


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What is Diamondhead Casino Predictability Rank?

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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Diamondhead Casino Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Diamondhead Casino Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Diamondhead Casino's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Diamondhead Casino (Diamondhead Casino) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Diamondhead Casino Corp (OTCPK:DHCC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
CAVG OOGI WHLT NLSC IWSH CCAJ BBLC GFOO PCMC XSVT BOM:543385 PBAJ CVII AACT SAGA ALCC LSE:ADMR ANSC NETD SCRM
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1013 Princess Street, Alexandria, VA, USA, 22314
Website
http://www.europacruises.com
Diamondhead Casino Corporation plans to develop a casino resort in Diamondhead, Mississippi. The company has no current operations in any state.
Executives
Crow Robert S. Iii director 5910 CORAL SEA AVE., ROCKVILLE MD 20851
Stephanie Michelle Stevens director 4309 CHASTAIN WALK NE, ATLANTA GA 30342
St Peter John Michael Jr director 22121 CREEKVIEW DR, GAITHERSBURG MD 20882
Gregory A Harrison director, officer: VICE PRESIDENT 16209 KIMBERLY GROVE, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Blount Martin Conrad director 1629 K.ST., N.W.,STE.300, 1344 EAST CAPITOL ST., N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20006
Lewis William Austin Iv director 201 E 87TH STREET, APT 5H, NEW YORK NY 10128
Thomas Gordon Wood director ONE HUGHES CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Carl Dean Stevens director 1753 HWY 42 SOUTH, FORSYTH GA 31029
Robert L Zimmerman officer: CFO
Williams Frank E Jr director 2789-B HARTLAND ROAD, FALLS CHURCH VA 22043
Deborah A Vitale director, officer: PRESIDENT
Benjamin J Harrell director
H Steven Norton director 700 ROZIER ST, ALTON IL 62002
Arnold Sussman director

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