ENTG (Entegris) Predictability Rank

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What is Entegris Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Entegris Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Entegris Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Entegris Inc (NAS:ENTG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

ENQ:Germany ENQ:Germany

Address

129 Concord Road, Billerica, MA, USA, 01821

Website

https://www.entegris.com

Entegris Inc is a supplier of materials and process solutions for the semiconductor and other high-technology industries. The company's reportable segments include The Materials Solutions segment which provides materials-based solutions, such as chemical vapor and atomic layer deposition materials, chemical mechanical planarization slurries and pads, ion implantation specialty gases, formulated etch and clean materials, and other specialty materials. The Advanced Purity Solutions segment offers filtration, purification and contamination-control solutions that improve customers' yield, device reliability and cost by ensuring the purity of critical liquid chemistries and gases and the cleanliness of wafers and other substrates.

Executives

Olivier Blachier	officer: SVP Business-New Markets Dev.	C/O ENTEGRIS, INC., 129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Clinton M. Haris	officer: Sr. V.P/G.M. Liquid Filtration	C/O ENTEGRIS, INC., 129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Daniel D. Woodland	officer: See Remarks	C/O ENTEGRIS, INC., 129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Bertrand Loy	director, officer: President & CEO	C/O ENTEGRIS, INC., 129 CONCORD RD, BILLERICA MA 01821
James Anthony O'neill	officer: SVP & CTO	129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
James P Lederer	director	5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
James Gentilcore	director	NINE HAMPSHIRE STREET, MANSFIELD MA 02048
Michael Sauer	officer: VP, Controller & CAO	129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Michael Besnard	officer: SVP, Chief Commercial Officer	C/O ENTEGRIS, INC., 129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Neil Richards	officer: SVP, Global Ops & Supply Chain	C/O ENTEGRIS, INC., 129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Susan G. Rice	officer: SVP, Human Resources	129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Joseph Colella	officer: SVP and General Counsel	129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Linda Lagorga	officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer	C/O ENTEGRIS, INC., 129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
William James Shaner	officer: Vice President, GM, ME Div.	129 CONCORD ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
James Robert Anderson	director	111 SW 5TH AVE, PORTLNAD OR 97204