Ridgepost Capital (FRA:AC3) Predictability Rank


FRA:AC3 Ridgepost Capital Inc FRA:AC3
75 GF Score
Price €6.35
GF Value €10.57
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Ridgepost Capital Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Ridgepost Capital Predictability Rank Related Terms

FRA:AC3
75GF Score
Ridgepost Capital Inc FRA:AC3
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Ridgepost Capital Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Ridgepost Capital (FRA:AC3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ridgepost Capital stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €6.35 is trading 39.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €10.57.

Key valuation signals for FRA:AC3:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: €10.57 vs. price of €6.35 (39.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:AC3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Ridgepost Capital Business Description

Other Exchanges RPC:USA
Address 2699 Howell Street, Suite 1000, Dallas, TX, USA, 75204
Ridgepost Capital Inc, formelrly P10 Inc is a player in the alternative asset management sector, specializing in multi-asset class private market solutions. It offers a range of investment solutions, including specialized funds, separate accounts, secondary investments, direct investments, and co-investments across various asset classes and geographies. These solutions cater to diverse investor needs within the private markets, aiming to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns. With a focus on middle and lower-middle markets, the company's portfolio includes Private Equity, Venture Capital, Impact Investing, and Private Credit. Its Revenue mainly comes from recurring management and advisory fees earned on committed capital, typically locked up for ten to fifteen years.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:AC3

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€6.35
Price
€10.57
GF Value