Acushnet Holdings (Acushnet Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Acushnet Holdings Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Acushnet Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Acushnet Holdings (Acushnet Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Acushnet Holdings Corp (NYSE:GOLF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

163:Germany

Address

333 Bridge Street, Fairhaven, MA, USA, 02719

Website

https://www.acushnetholdingscorp.com

Acushnet Holdings Corp is engaged in the design, development, manufacture, and distribution of golf products. Its product category includes golf balls, golf shoes, golf clubs, wedges, putters, golf gloves, golf gear and golf wear, of which key revenue is derived from the sales of golf balls and golf gloves. The operating segments of the company are Titleist golf balls, Titleist golf clubs, Titleist golf gear and FootJoy golf wear. The company operates in the United States, EMEA, Japan, Korea and other countries, of which a majority of the revenue is generated from the operations in the United States.

Executives

Christopher Aaron Lindner	officer: President, FootJoy	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
Steven Francis Pelisek	officer: See Remarks	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
Fila Korea Co., Ltd.	director, 10 percent owner	1077 CHEONHO-DAERO, GANGDONG-GU, 15F,16F,17F,18F, SEOUL M5 05340
Brendan J. Reidy	officer: See Remarks	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
David Eugene Maher	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
Sean S Sullivan	director	11 PENN PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10001
Nicholas N Mohamed	officer: Principal Accounting Officer	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
Leanne D Cunningham	director	850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
Mary Louise Bohn	officer: See Remarks	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
Thomas Pacheco	officer: Principal Accounting Officer	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
Roger Czuchra	officer: See Remarks	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
Lee Ho Yeon (aaron)	director, 10 percent owner	FILA HOLDINGS CORP-EAST CENTRAL TOWER18F, 1077 CHEONHO-DAERO, GANGDON-GU, SEOUL M5 05340
Jan Singer	director	2 PARK AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Roland A Giroux	officer: See Remarks	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719
Duke John Francis Jr	officer: See Remarks	C/O ACUSHNET HOLDINGS CORP., 333 BRIDGE STREET, FAIRHAVEN MA 02719