What is Hyperscale Data Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Hyperscale Data Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Hyperscale Data Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11411 Southern Highlands Parkway, Suite 240, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89141
Hyperscale Data Inc, formerly Ault Alliance Inc is a diversified holding company. It operates a data center at which it mines Bitcoin and provides mission-critical products that support a diverse range of industries, including oil exploration, crane services, defense/aerospace, industrial, automotive, medical/biopharma, consumer electronics, hotel operations and textiles. The company has eight reportable segments: Energy and Infrastructure; Technology and Finance; SMC; Sentinum, Inc.; GIGA; TurnOnGreen; ROI; and Ault Disruptive.
Executives
| Ault Milton C Iii |
director |
11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS PARKWAY, SUITE 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141 |
| Howard Ash |
director |
4233 SHERIDAN AVE, MIAMI BEACH FL 33140 |
| Robert O Smith |
10 percent owner |
DIGITAL POWER CORPORATION, 41920 CHRISTY STREET, FREMONT CA 94538 |
| Ault & Company, Inc. |
director, officer: See Remark |
11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS PARKWAY, SUITE 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141 |
| William B. Horne |
director |
C/O AULT ALLIANCE, INC., 940 SOUTH COAST DRIVE, SUITE 200, COSTA MESA CA 92626 |
| Glen E Tellock |
director |
1725 SHEPHERD ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421 |
| Kenneth S Cragun |
officer: See Remarks |
3775 CHIPPEWA CIRCLE, CORONA CA 92881 |
| Jodi Brichan |
director |
C/O DPW HOLDINGS, INC., 201 SHIPYARD WAY, SUITE E, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92663 |
| Ding Gu |
10 percent owner |
208 LAUREL CREEK BLVD., MOORESTOWN NJ 08057 |
| Henry Carl Nisser |
officer: Executive VP & General Counsel |
100 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 1658A, NEW YORK NY 10017 |
| Kristine L Ault |
director, 10 percent owner |
P.O. BOX 3587, TUSTIN CA 92781 |
| Jeffrey Allen Bentz |
director |
107 E BONITA WAY, TEMPE AZ 85281 |
| Philou Ventures, Llc |
10 percent owner |
P.O. BOX 3587, TUSTIN CA 92781 |
| Mordechai Rosenberg |
director |
1 BROSH STREET, KFAR SABA L3 4438240 |
| Amos Kohn |
director |
48430 LAKEVIEW BLVD., C/O DIGITAL POWER CORP, FREMONT CA 94538 |
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