SELECT * FROM `stock_list` where symbol='00296' AND exchange = 'HKSE' limit 0,1
SELECT * FROM `stock_list` where symbol='00296' AND exchange = 'HKSE' limit 0,1
SELECT * FROM `stock_list` WHERE `symbol` = "00296" and stock_list.exchange IN (SELECT exchange FROM gurufocu_main.stock_list_exchanges where country='USA' and active=1) limit 0,1 Emperor Entertainment Hotel (HKSE:00296) Predictability Ran
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd (HKSE:00296) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Emperor Entertainment Hotel (HKSE:00296) Predictability Rank


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What is Emperor Entertainment Hotel Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Emperor Entertainment Hotel Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Emperor Entertainment Hotel Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Emperor Entertainment Hotel (HKSE:00296) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd (HKSE:00296) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
HKSE:01245 HKSE:00582 HKSE:00070 HKSE:01180 HKSE:08052 HKSE:01680 LVS HKSE:01928 HKSE:00027 MGM WYNN SGX:G13 CZR MTN HKSE:02282 HKSE:01128 BYD HGV XKLS:3182 VAC
Traded in Other Exchanges
EM7A:Germany
Address
288 Hennessy Road, 28th Floor, Emperor Group Centre, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
Website
https://www.emp296.com
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd is a Macao-based company that is active in the hospitality and entertainment industry. The company is engaged provision of gaming-related marketing and public relations services in the casino of the Grand Emperor Hotel, the operation of a mass market hall, VIP room, and slot machine hall operations. The company is also engaged in the hotel operation of the Grand Emperor Hotel and the Inn Hotel Macau. The company manages its business in segments namely gaming operations, Leasing, and hotel operation. It generates the majority of its revenue from hotel operations in Macau.

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