Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co (HKSE:02502) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2023. Start your Free Trial

What is Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co Ltd (HKSE:02502) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

West First Ring Road South, Henan Province, Jiyuan, CHN

Website

https://www.jyqhhg.com

Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co Ltd supplies hydrogenated benzene-based chemicals and energy products in Henan province. The company operates in the following segments: The Refined chemicals segment which accounts for the majority of revenue engages in sales of hydrogenated benzene-based chemicals; the Energy products segment sale energy products, mainly coal gas and LNG; Trading engages in trading of refined oil, LNG, and hydrogen through gas stations and Other Services segment.

Executives

Henan Jinma Energy Company Limited
Max Success Group Holdings Limited
Ng Mei Ling
Yeung Chi Ming
Ascend Open Master Fund Vcc - Yide Kui Mao Fund V	2101 Beneficial owner
Haitong International Holdings Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Haitong International Securities Company Limited	2101 Beneficial owner
Haitong International Securities Group Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Haitong Securities Co., Ltd.	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ubs Tc (jersey) Ltd	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhongsheng Holdings Company Limited	2101 Beneficial owner
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
You Zhenhua
Wang Fengmei
Dong Caiping

Henan Jinyuan Hydrogenated Chemicals Co Headlines

No Headlines