Genor Biopharma Holdings (HKSE:06998) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Genor Biopharma Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Genor Biopharma Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Genor Biopharma Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Genor Biopharma Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Genor Biopharma Holdings Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Genor Biopharma Holdings Ltd (HKSE:06998) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

67N:Germany

Address

690 Bibo Road, Room 401-17, Building 6, Pudong New District, Shanghai, CHN, 201203

Website

https://www.genorbio.com

Genor Biopharma Holdings Ltd is a commercial-ready biopharmaceutical company focusing on developing and commercializing oncology and autoimmune drugs. The company is focused on therapeutic areas with substantial unmet medical needs in oncology, autoimmune, and other chronic diseases. Its key drug candidates include GB491 (lerociclib), a differentiated oral CDK4/6 inhibitor; GB221, a novel HER2 mAb drug candidate; geptanolimab (GB226), GB492, a STING agonist expected to exert synergistic effects in combination with GB226; GB242, an infliximab (Remicade) biosimilar; and GB223, a RANKL, and others.

Executives

Forebright New Opportunities Fund, L.p.	2101 Beneficial owner
Forbright Global Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fnof Gp Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Deg – Deutsche Investitions- Und Entwicklungsgesellschaft Mbh	2101 Beneficial owner
Hsg Growth V Holdco Q, Ltd.	2101 Beneficial owner
Hsg Holding Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Snp China Enterprises Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hongshan Capital Growth Fund Management I, L.p.	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Nan Peng	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hongshan Capital Growth Fund I, L.p.	2101 Beneficial owner
Hongshan Capital Growth Fund V, L.p.	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hsg Growth V Management, L.p.	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hongshan Capital Management I, L.p.	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hongshan Capital I, L.p.	2101 Beneficial owner
Ni Xin	2101 Beneficial owner

Genor Biopharma Holdings Headlines

No Headlines