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IMMX (Immix Biopharma) Predictability Rank


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What is Immix Biopharma Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Immix Biopharma Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Immix Biopharma Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Immix Biopharma Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11400 West Olympic Boulevard, Suite 200, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90064
Immix Biopharma Inc is engaged in the discovery and development of novel cell therapies for hematologic malignancies (blood cancers) and other indications. It is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing a novel class of Tissue-Specific Therapeutics TM in oncology and inflammation. Its TME Normalization Technology allows drug candidates to circulate in the bloodstream, exit through tumor blood vessels and simultaneously attack all components of the TME. Its product candidates include CAR-T NXC-201 for autoimmune diseases, and IMX-110 for treatment of soft tissue sarcoma.
Executives
Jason Hsu director 11400 WEST OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Carey Ng director 11400 WEST OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Ilya M Rachman director, officer: CEO and Chairman 11400 WEST OLYMPIC BLVD.,, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Gabriel S Morris director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 11400 WEST OLYMPIC BLVD.,, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Helen C. Adams director 15378 AVENUE OF SCIENCE, STE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92128
Melissa Jane Buchan director 1920 MAIN STREET, SUITE 500, IRVINE CA 92614
Magda Marquet director ALTHEADX INC., 3550 DUNHILL STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Yekaterina Chudnovsky director, 10 percent owner C/O ELICIO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 451 D STREET, 5TH FLOOR, SUITE 501, BOSTON MA 02210
Sean Senn 10 percent owner 11400 WEST OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Vladimir P Torchilin officer: Scientific Co-Founder 11400 WEST OLYMPIC BLVD.,, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Graham Ross officer: CMO & Head of Clinical Dev. 11400 WEST OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064

Immix Biopharma Headlines

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