INTI (Inhibitor Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

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What is Inhibitor Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Inhibitor Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Inhibitor Therapeutics Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Inhibitor Therapeutics Inc (OTCPK:INTI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

4905 South West Shore Boulevard, Tampa, FL, USA, 33611-3329

Website

https://www.inhibitortx.com

Inhibitor Therapeutics Inc is a pharmaceutical development company that is focused on developing and ultimately commercializing therapeutics based on already approved active pharmaceuticals that have patent-protected methods of use and/or methods of delivery for patients with certain cancers and certain non-cancerous proliferation disorders. The company's main focus is to advance its lead product, SUBA-Itraconazole a patented, oral formulation of the currently marketed, well-understood, anti-fungal drug, Itraconazole, for prostate and lung cancer.

Executives

Black Robe Capital Llc	10 percent owner	900 WEST PLATT STREET SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33606
Ronald E Osman Irrevocable Trust Iii	10 percent owner	1602 WEST KIMMEL, P.O. BOX 939, MARION IL 62959
Ronald E Osman	director, 10 percent owner	1602 KIMMEL STREET, MARION IL 62959
Donovan James Joseph Iii	10 percent owner	C/O TPB 2012 LLC 12412 POWERSCOURT DR, SUITE 35, SAINT LOUIS MO 63131
Tpb 2012 Llc	10 percent owner	12412 POWERSCOURT DRIVE SUITE 35, SAINT LOUIS MO 63131
Michelle Yanez	director	449 S. 12TH STREET UNIT 1705, TAMPA FL 33602
Niraj Vasisht	director	C/O BIODELIVERY SCIENCES INTERNATIONAL, 4131 PARK LAKE AVE., SUITE 225, RALEIGH NC 27612
James A Mcnulty	10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks	C/O CV SCIENCES, INC., 2688 S. RAINBOW BLVD., SUITE B, LAS VEGAS NV 89146
Mayne Pharma International Pty Ltd	10 percent owner	1538 MAIN NORTH ROAD, SALISBURY SOUTH, SA C3 5106
Mayne Pharma Ventures Pty Ltd	10 percent owner	1538 MAIN NORTH ROAD, SALISBURY SOUTH, SA C3 5106
Mayne Pharma Group Ltd	10 percent owner	1538 MAIN NORTH ROAD, SALISBURY SOUTH, SA C3 5106
Garrison J. Hasara	officer: CFO and Treasurer	324 S. HYDE PARK AVENUE, SUITE 350, TAMPA FL 33606
Debra Peattie	director	4830 W. KENNEDY BLVD., SUITE 600, TAMPA FL 33609
Robert Daniel Martin	director	C/O HEDGEPATH PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 324 SOUTH HYDE PARK AVENUE, SUITE 350, TAMPA FL 33606
E. Brendan Magrab	director, officer: Chairman of the Board	C/O HEDGEPATH PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 324 SOUTH HYDE PARK AVENUE, SUITE 350, TAMPA FL 33606