ITOX (IIOT-OXYS) Predictability Rank

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What is IIOT-OXYS Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

IIOT-OXYS Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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IIOT-OXYS Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » IIOT-OXYS Inc (OTCPK:ITOX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

705 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02141

Website

https://www.oxyscorp.com

IIOT-OXYS Inc is a technology company at the intersection of Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), Artificial Intelligence (AI) & Machine Learning, Edge Computing, and Manufacturing Operations. The company develops hardware, software, and algorithms that monitor, measure, and predict conditions for energy, structural, agricultural, and medical applications. The company uses domain-specific Artificial Intelligence to solve industrial and environmental challenges. The company provides actionable mission-critical insights for the Medical/Pharmaceutical, Manufacturing, Agriculture, Defense, and Structural Health, and other industries.

Executives

Iiot-oxys, Inc.	officer: Chief Operating Officer	705 CAMBRIDGE ST., CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Chandran V Seshagiri	officer: Interim CTO	96 BROOKS AVE, ARLINGTON MA 02474
Karen Mcnemar	officer: Chief Operating Officer	65 MANSFIELD ROAD, MILFORD CT 06461
Antony Coufal	officer: Chief Technology Officer, other: President of HereLab, Inc.	49 EDGEMERE ROAD, QUINCY MA 02169
Clifford L Emmons	director, officer: CEO, President, Interim CFO	24 FREEDOM TRAIL, DENNIS MA 02638
Patrick Phillips	director, officer: V.P. of Product Management	10 ROCK POND ROAD, WEST TISBURY MA 02575
Vidhyadhar Mitta	director	6 COURTHOUSE LN #16, CHELMSFORD MA 01824
Giro Dibiase	director, officer: CEO & President	705 CAMBRIDGE ST., CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Nevan C Hanumara	director, other: Secretary	705 CAMBRIDGE ST., CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Daniel Generelli	director, officer: Chief Financial Officer	266 CEDAR ST, CEDAR GROVE NJ 07009
Pasquale Catizone	10 percent owner	266 CEDAR ST, CEDAR GROVE NJ 07009
Carmine Catizone	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	10 1/2 WALKER AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960