Kalera (Kalera) Predictability Rank

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What is Kalera Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Kalera Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Kalera (Kalera) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Kalera PLC (OTCPK:KALRQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

10 Earlsfort Terrace, Dublin, IRL, D02 T380

Website

https://www.kalera.com

Kalera PLC is a vertical farming company. It produces fresh, nutritious, and excellent tasting leafy greens with minimal environmental impact. It has spent several years optimizing plant nutrient formulas and developing an advanced automation and data acquisition system with Internet of Things, cloud, big data analytics and artificial intelligence. Kalera currently operates farms in Orlando (Florida), Atlanta (Georgia), Houston (Texas), and Kuwait.

Executives

Jong Brent De	director	BOUNDARY HALL, CRICKET SQUARE, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Andrea Weiss	director	23 RAMRAPO COURT WEST, GLENROCK NJ 07452
Maria Sastre	director	C/O DARDEN RESTAURANTS, INC., 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Curtis B Mcwilliams	director	450 SOUTH ORANGE AVENUE, ORLANDO FL 32801
James Leighton	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	11408 NEWPORT BAY DRIVE, BERLIN MD 21811
Robert Arnall	director	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Umur Hursever	director	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Aric Nissen	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Henner Schwarz	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Cristian Toma	director, officer: Chief Science Officer	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Austin Martin	officer: Chief Operating Officer	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Fernando Cornejo	officer: Chief Financial Officer	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Faisal Almeshal	director	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Sonny Perdue	director	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322
Jade Stinson	officer: Chief Innovation Officer	KALERA PLC, 7455 EMERALD DUNES DR., ORLANDO FL 82322