KORU Medical Systems (KORU Medical Systems) Predictability Rank

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What is KORU Medical Systems Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

KORU Medical Systems Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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KORU Medical Systems (KORU Medical Systems) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » KORU Medical Systems Inc (NAS:KRMD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

100 Corporate Drive, Mahwah, NJ, USA, 07430

Website

https://www.korumedical.com

KORU Medical Systems Inc is a developer and manufacturer of medical devices and supplies. It focuses on home and specialty infusion solutions. Its primary products include the Freedom Integrated Infusion System: the FREEDOM60 and FreedomEdge Syringe Drivers, Precision Flow Rate Tubing, and HIgH-Flo Subcutaneous Safety Needle Sets. It is a manufacturer of subcutaneous infusion devices that deliver life-saving immunoglobulin therapies to patients with chronic illnesses such as Primary Immunodeficiencies (PIDD) and Chronic Inflammatory Demyelinating Polyneuropathy (CIDP).

Executives

Manko Joseph M. Jr.	10 percent owner	1717 ARCH STREET, 37TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Kenneth E Miller	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	26 MOUNTAINVIEW RD, WARREN NJ 07059
Edward Wholihan	director	C/O ALLENA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., ONE NEWTOWN EXECUTIVE PARK SUITE 202, NEWTON MA 02462
Linda M Tharby	officer: President and CEO	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Robert Cascella	director	C/O HOLOGIC, INC., BEDFORD MA 01730
Lafrence Andrew D.c.	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O VYANT BIO, INC., 201 ROUTE 17 NORTH, 2ND FLOOR, RUTHERFORD NJ 07070
Thomas Edward Adams	officer: Interim CFO	524 WOODLAND AVENUE, BRIELLE NJ 08730
Brian Case	officer: Chief Technology Officer	424 CYPRUS CIR, LAKE VILLA IL 60046-8629
Shahriar Matin	director	96 TALAMINE COURT, COLORADO SPRINGS CO 80907
Donna French	director	25 SEARSVILLE COURT, HILLSBOROUGH CA 94010
Donald B Pettigrew	officer: Pres./Chief Commercial Officer	7871 ENGEN LOOP, PARK CITY UT 84098
Karen Fisher	officer: CFO	24 CARPENTER ROAD, CHESTER NY 10918
Daniel S Goldberger	director	24 CARPENTER ROAD, CHESTER NY 10918
R John Fletcher	director	C/O VYANT BIO, INC., 201 ROUTE 17 NORTH, 2ND FLOOR, RUTHERFORD NJ 07070
Horton Freedom, L.p.	10 percent owner	1717 ARCH STREET, 37TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103