Lionheart Acquisition II (Lionheart Acquisition II) Predictability Rank

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What is Lionheart Acquisition II Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Lionheart Acquisition II Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Lionheart Acquisition II (Lionheart Acquisition II) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Lionheart Acquisition Corp II (NAS:LCAP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

4218 NE 2nd Avenue, Miami, FL, USA, 33137

Website

https://www.lionheartacquisitioncorp.com

Lionheart Acquisition Corp II is a blank check company.

Executives

Cala Faquiry Diaz	officer: Chief Operating Officer	4218 NE 2ND AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33137
Thomas W Hawkins	director	GERALD STEVENS INC, PO BOX 350526, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33335-0526
Lionheart Equities, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O LIONHEART CAPITAL, LLC, 4218 NE 2ND AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33137
Ophir Sternberg	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and President	C/O OPES ACQUISITION CORP., JAVIER BARROS SIERRA 540, OF. 103, MEXICO CITY O5 01210
Trevor Barran	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	4310 NE 2ND AVENUE, APT 1, MIAMI FL 33137
Thomas Clyde Byrne	director	C/O JUST ANOTHER ACQUISITION, CORP., 122 EAST 42ND STREET, UNIT 2015, NEW YORK NY 10168
Aman Kapadia	director	4218 NE 2ND AVENUE, 2ND FL., MIAMI FL 33137
James Stephen Anderson	director	4218 NE 2ND AVENUE 2ND FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Roger Meltzer	director	80 PINE STREET, C/O CAHILL GORDON& REINDELL LLP, NEW YORK NY 10005
Paul Howard Rapisarda	officer: CFO and Secretary	151 SE 15TH ROAD, APT 1802, MIAMI FL 33129
Steven R Berrard	director	BIRMINGHAM STEEL, PO BOX 1208, BIRMINHAM AL 35201