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Lantheus Holdings (Lantheus Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is Lantheus Holdings Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Lantheus Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Lantheus Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Lantheus Holdings (Lantheus Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
201 Burlington Road, South Building, Bedford, MA, USA, 01730
Lantheus Holdings Inc caters to the United States healthcare sector with the development of diagnostic products. Its products are in three categories: Precision Diagnostics, Radiopharmaceutical Oncology, and Strategic Partnerships and Other Revenue. Precision Diagnostic products assist healthcare professionals Find and Follow diseases, with a focus in cardiology. Radiopharmaceutical Oncology diagnostics and therapeutics help HCPs Find, Fight and Follow cancer. Strategic Partnerships focus on enabling precision medicine through the use of biomarkers, digital solutions and pharma services platforms, and also includes license of RELISTOR to Bausch Health Companies, Inc.
Executives
Andrea Sabens officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O LANTHEUS HOLDINGS, INC., 331 TREBLE COVE ROAD, NORTH BILLERICA MA 01862
Marshall Robert J. Jr. officer: CFO and Treasurer C/O LANTHEUS MEDICAL IMAGING, INC., 331 TREBLE COVE ROAD, NORTH BILLERICA MA 01862
Paul Blanchfield officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O LANTHEUS HOLDINGS, INC., 331, NORTH BILLERICA MA 01862
Mary Anne Heino director, officer: CEO and President C/O LANTHEUS HOLDINGS, INC., 331 TREBLE COVE ROAD, NORTH BILLERICA NY 01862
Daniel Niedzwiecki officer: See Remarks C/O LANTHEUS HOLDINGS, INC., 331 TREBLE COVE ROAD, NORTH BILLERICA MA 01862
Minnie Baylor-henry director C/O SCPHARMACUETICALS, INC., 2400 DISTRICT AVENUE SUITE 310, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Etienne Montagut officer: See Remarks C/O LANTHEUS HOLDINGS, INC., 331 TREBLE COVE ROAD, NORTH BILLERICA MA 01862
Sam R Leno director C/O BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, ONE BOSTON SCIENTIFIC PLACE, NATICK MA 01760
Brian A Markison director 501 FIFTH STREET, BRISTOL TN 37620
Jean-claude Provost officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O LANTHEUS HOLDINGS, INC., 201 BURLINGTON RD, SOUTH BUILDING, BEDFORD MA 01730
Julie Mchugh director C/O IRONWOOD PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 100 SUMMER STREET, SUITE 2300, BOSTON MA 02110
Gerard Ber director C/O Y-MABS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 230 PARK AVENUE, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10169
Carol Walker officer: Senior Vice President, Quality C/O LANTHEUS HOLDINGS, INC., 331 TREBLE COVE ROAD, NORTH BILLERICA MA 01862
Ying Vivian Yao officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O LANTHEUS HOLDINGS, INC., 331 TREBLE COVE ROAD, NORTH BILLERICA MA 01862
John J. Bolla director C/O LANTHEUS MEDICAL IMAGING, INC., 331 TREBLE COVE ROAD, NORTH BILLERICA MA 01862