LiveOne (LiveOne) Predictability Rank

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What is LiveOne Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

LiveOne Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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LiveOne (LiveOne) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » LiveOne Inc (NAS:LVO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

3510:Germany

Address

269 South Beverly Drive, Suite 1450, Beverly Hills, CA, USA, 90212

Website

https://www.liveone.com

LiveOne Inc, formerly LiveXLive Media Inc is a premium internet network devoted to live music and music-related video content. The company has been building an online destination for music fans to enjoy live performances from music venues and music festivals around the world, such as Rock in Rio, Outside Lands Music and Arts Festival, and Hangout Music Festival, as well as original content, artist exclusives, and industry interviews. The Company operates mainly through two segments, Audio and Media, with a majority of its revenue derived from the Audio segment.

Executives

Kristopher Wright	director	269 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE 1450, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Robert S Ellin	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman	4751 WILSHIRE BLVD, 3RD FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Aaron Sullivan	officer: Interim CFO, Controller & EVP	269 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE 1450, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Jay E. Krigsman	director	C/O LATERAL MEDIA, INC., 2121 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 2550, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Patrick D Wachsberger	director	C/O LIVEXLIVE MEDIA, INC., 9200 SUNSET BOULEVARD, SUITE #1201, WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Maria D Garrido	director	C/O LIVEXLIVE MEDIA, INC.,, 269 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE 1450, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Michael Quartieri	officer: CFO, EVP & Secretary	C/O SCIENTIFIC GAMES CORPORATION, 6601 BERMUDA ROAD, LAS VEGAS NV 89119
Bridget Baker	director	2550 DENALI STREET, SUITE 1000, ANCHORAGE X1 99503
Tim J. Spengler	director	C/O LIVEXLIVE MEDIA, INC, 269 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE 1450, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Dermot A Mccormack	officer: President	C/O LIVEXLIVE MEDIA, INC., 269 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE #1450, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Kenneth A Solomon	director	C/O LIVEXLIVE MEDIA, INC., 9200 SUNSET BOULEVARD, SUITE #1201, WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Ramin Arani	director	C/O LIVEXLIVE MEDIA, INC, 920 SUNSET BOULEVARD, SUITE #1201, WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Douglas D Schaer	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O LIVEXLIVE MEDIA, INC., 269 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE 1450, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Michael Leonard Zemetra	officer: CFO and EVP	5264 CALATRANA DRIVE, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91364
Jerome N. Gold	officer: CFO and EVP	C/O LIVEXLIVE MEDIA, INC, 269 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE 1450, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212