GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Malacca Straits Acquisition Co Ltd (NAS:MLACU) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Malacca Straits Acquisition Co (Malacca Straits Acquisition Co) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Malacca Straits Acquisition Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Malacca Straits Acquisition Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Malacca Straits Acquisition Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Malacca Straits Acquisition Co's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Malacca Straits Acquisition Co (Malacca Straits Acquisition Co) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Malacca Straits Acquisition Co Ltd (NAS:MLACU) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
RAM CLOE APMI CCAI JWAC RICO AMCI GLTA RACY ARYE GSHN PSTH XAMS:EPIC ASZ CCYC CVII KAHC DWAC IPOF PBAJ
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2 Ice House Street, Saint George’s Building, Unit 601-2, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Website
https://www.malaccastraits.net
Malacca Straits Acquisition Co Ltd is a blank check company.
Executives
Ka Lok Wong director, 10 percent owner 7244 CARRIZO DRIVE,, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. 10 percent owner 16 YORK STREET SUITE 2900, TORONTO A6 M5J 0E6
Aqr Arbitrage Llc 10 percent owner ONE GREENWICH PLAZA, GREENWICH CT 06830
Aqr Capital Management Llc 10 percent owner ONE GREENWICH PLAZA, GREENWICH CT 06830
Aqr Capital Management Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner ONE GREENWICH PLAZA, GREENWICH CT 06830
Nomura Holdings Inc 10 percent owner 1-13-1 NIHONBASHI, CHUO-KU, TOKYO M0 103-8645
Nomura Global Financial Products Inc 10 percent owner WORLDWIDE PLAZA, 309 WEST 49TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Eugene Ty Tan director UNIT 601-2 ST. GEORGES BUILDING, 2 ICE HOUSE STREET, CENTRAL K3 000000
Ming Shu Leung director UNIT 601-2 ST. GEORGES BUILDING, 2 ICE HOUSE STREET, CENTRAL K3 000000
Gordon Lo director, officer: CEO and President UNIT 601-2, ST. GEORGE'S BUILDING 2 ICE HOUSE STREET, CENTRAL K3 00000
Christian Jason Chan director C/O SECLAW GROUP, 100 CRESCENT COURT #700, DALLAS TX 75201
Malacca Straits Management Co Ltd 10 percent owner WICKHAM CAY II ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA E9 VG1110
Kenneth Ng director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and President 2 ICE HOUSE STREET, ST. GEORGE'S BLDG UNIT 601-2, HONG KONG F4 000000
Dwi Prasetyo Suseno director 2 ICE HOUSE STREET, ST. GEORGE'S BLDG UNIT 601-2, HONG KONG F4 000000
Ping He director 2 ICE HOUSE STREET, ST. GEORGE'S BLDG UNIT 601-2, HONG KONG F4 000000