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MLMC (Mike Lindell Media) Predictability Rank


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What is Mike Lindell Media Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Mike Lindell Media Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Mike Lindell Media Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Mike Lindell Media Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1550 Audubon Road, Chaska, MN, USA, 55318
Mike Lindell Media Corp operates a conservative broadcast platform to provide a First-Amendment-friendly alternative to mainstream media options through its platforms at LindellTV.com and vocl.com. Through its platforms, the users can post videos, live stream television, distribute news and information, and find community and fellowship with like-minded viewers.
Executives
Creative Financial Services Inc. director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 638 N. 5TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85003
Gregory Bryan Martin officer: President 1950 FIFTH AVE #100 SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Acunto John P Jr 10 percent owner 1609 SCOTLAND AVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28207
Arlene Mcmachen 10 percent owner PO BOX 5532 LIGHTHOUSE POINT FL 33074
Glenn Sr Mcmachen director, 10 percent owner PO BOX 5532 LIGHTHOUSE POINT FL 33074
Marty Schiff director 61 LEMON ST. UNIONTOWN PA 15401
Flexible Growth & Income Fund Co, Llc 10 percent owner 1015 MASSACHUSETTS AVE. LEXINGTON MA 02420
Mark Crist director
Donald Neal Gallent officer: President 701 WOODRIDGE COURT BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Joya Arthur De officer: CFO 361 WISETON AVENUE, LAS VEGAS NV 89123
Gary J Hohman officer: President
Ismat Sawaqed director 1535 BLACKJACK ROAD FRANKLIN KY 42134
John Fleming director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
John Fleming director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO 1535 BLACKJACK ROAD FRANKLIN KY 42134