NDRA (ENDRA Life Sciences) Predictability Rank

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What is ENDRA Life Sciences Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

ENDRA Life Sciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

ENDRA Life Sciences Predictability Rank Related Terms

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ENDRA Life Sciences Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Diagnostics & Research » ENDRA Life Sciences Inc (NAS:NDRA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3600 Green Court, Suite 350, Ann Arbor, MI, USA, 48105-1570

Website

https://www.endrainc.com

ENDRA Life Sciences Inc is engaged in the development of Thermo Acoustic Enhanced UltraSound (TAEUS) to visualize tissue like MRI but at 1/50th the cost and at the point of patient care. TAEUS is designed to work in concert with around 400,000 cart-based ultrasound systems in use globally today. TAEUS is initially focused on the measurement of fat in the liver as a means to assess and monitor Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) and Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH), chronic liver conditions that affect over one billion people globally, and for which there are no practical diagnostic tools. Beyond the liver, the firm is exploring several other clinical applications of TAEUS, including visualization of tissue temperature during energy-based surgical procedures.

Executives

Michael Milos Thornton	officer: Chief Technology Officer	3600 GREEN COURT, SUITE 350, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Anthony Digiandomenico	director	3600 GREEN COURT, SUITE 350, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Alexander Y Tokman	director	C/O MICROVISION, INC., 6222 185TH AVENUE NE, REDMOND WA 98052
Francois Roger Michelon	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	430 N. JUNO LANE, JUNO BEACH FL 33406
Lou Basenese	director	3600 GREEN COURT, SUITE 350, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Irina Pestrikova	officer: Senior Director, Finance	3600 GREEN COURT, SUITE 350, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Renaud Bertrand Maloberti	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	10 ACORN WAY, GEORGETOWN MA 01833
David R. Wells	officer: Chief Financial Officer	2801 OCEAN PARK BLVD., SUITE 339, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Michael Harsh	director	3600 GREEN COURT, SUITE 350, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Longboard Capital Advisors, Llc	10 percent owner	9665 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 430, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Brett Conrad	10 percent owner	1312 CEDAR ST., SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Sanjiv Sam Gambhir	director	3600 GREEN COURT, SUITE 350, ANN ARBOR MI 48105