Transindia Real Estate (NSE:TREL) Predictability Rank


NSE:TREL Transindia Real Estate Ltd NSE:TREL
39 GF Score
Price ₹27.09
GF Value ₹33.05
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Transindia Real Estate Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Transindia Real Estate Predictability Rank Related Terms

NSE:TREL
39GF Score
Transindia Real Estate Ltd NSE:TREL
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Transindia Real Estate Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Transindia Real Estate (NSE:TREL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Transindia Real Estate stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹27.09 is trading 18% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹33.05. GuruFocus considers Transindia Real Estate to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for NSE:TREL:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: ₹33.05 vs. price of ₹27.09 (18% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 39/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:TREL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Transindia Real Estate Business Description

Other Exchanges 543955:India
Address Allcargo House, CST Road, 6th Floor, B Wing, Kalina, Santacruz East, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400098
Transindia Real Estate Ltd is engaged in the business of Leasing of land and Commercial Properties, Logistics Park, Warehousing, real estate development and leasing activities, Engineering and equipment hiring solutions, and other related businesses. The group operates in two reportable segments: Equipment hiring (Formerly known as equipment hiring and engineering solutions), which provides integrated end-to-end project, engineering and logistic services through a diverse fleet of owned/rented specialised equipment across various sectors; Logistics Park and commercial properties, which provide state of the art strategically located logistics parks across India and commercial properties on rent. The group generates revenue from India.
39GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:TREL

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹27.09
Price
₹33.05
GF Value