Next Technology Holding (Next Technology Holding) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Next Technology Holding Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Next Technology Holding Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Next Technology Holding Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Next Technology Holding's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Next Technology Holding (Next Technology Holding) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Next Technology Holding Inc (NAS:NXTT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

No. 18, Kechuang 10th Street, Room 101, Level 1 Building 8, Beijing Economic and Technological, Development Zone, Beijing, CHN, 100020

Website

https://www.wetradegroup.net

WeTrade Group Inc is engaged in providing technical services and solutions via its membership-based social e-commerce platform and chatGPT technical services. The company provides technology services to both individual and corporate users. It offers an international cloud-based intelligence system and independently developed a micro-business cloud intelligence system called the YCloud. The company also serves tourism, hospitality, livestreaming and short video, medical beauty, and traditional retail industries.

Executives

Biming Guo	director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, BEIJING F4 100020
Kean Tat Che	director, officer: CFO and Executive Director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000
Yuxing Ye	director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000
Donghui Wang	director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000
Ning Qin	director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000
Pijun Liu	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Executive Director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000
Zhuo Li	director, officer: COO and Executive Director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000
Daxue Li	director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000
Zheng Dai	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and Exec. Director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000
Hung Fai Choi	director	NO 1 GAOBEI SOUTH COAST, YI AN MEN 111 BLOCK 37, CHAO YANG DIST., BEIJING CITY F4 00000