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PAYO (Payoneer Global) Predictability Rank


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What is Payoneer Global Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Payoneer Global Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Payoneer Global Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Payoneer Global's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Payoneer Global Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
150 W 30th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Payoneer Global Inc is the world's go-to partner for digital commerce, everywhere. The company started to empower global commerce by connecting businesses, professionals, countries, and currencies with its diversified cross-border payments platform.
Executives
Itai Perry officer: SVP Finance C/O CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 206 E. 9TH STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
Technology Crossover Management Viii, Ltd. 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(d) group C/O TECHNOLOGY CROSSOVER VENTURES, 250 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Scott H. Galit director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O FTAC OLYMPUS ACQUISITION CORP., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 1703, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Avi Zeevi director C/O FTAC OLYMPUS ACQUISITION CORP., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 1703, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Tsafi Goldman officer: CL&RO C/O FTAC OLYMPUS ACQUISITION CORP., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 1703, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Beatrice Ordonez officer: Chief Financial Officer TWO BLUE HILL PLAZA - SECOND FLOOR, PEARL RIVER NY 10965
Arnon Kraft officer: Chief Operating Officer 150 W 30TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10001
Susanna Morgan director 1111 THIRD AVENUE, ST. 2100, C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., SEATTLE WA 98101
Caro Del Castillo Sharda director C/O AFFIRM HOLDINGS, INC., 650 CALIFORNIA STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Michael G Levine officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FTAC OLYMPUS ACQUISITION CORP., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 1703, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Robert Kl Clarkson officer: Chief Revenue Officer 150 W 30TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10001
Assaf Ronen officer: Chief Platform Officer 234 1ST ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
John C. Morris director C/O VISA INC., P.O. BOX 8999, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94128-8999
John Caplan director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer C/O PAYONEER GLOBAL INC. 150 W. 30TH ST, NEW YORK NY 10001
Gilad Gruber officer: Chief Technology Officer 150 W. 30TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001