PAYO (Payoneer Global) Predictability Rank

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What is Payoneer Global Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Payoneer Global Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Payoneer Global Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Payoneer Global Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Payoneer Global Inc (NAS:PAYO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

EVTC ACIW RAMP PAGS PAY EVCM DOCN AVDX NTCT SWI MSFT ORCL ADBE PANW SNPS VMW FTNT CRWD PLTR SQ

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

150 W 30th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10001

Website

https://www.payoneer.com

Payoneer Global Inc is the world's go-to partner for digital commerce, everywhere. The company started to empower global commerce by connecting businesses, professionals, countries, and currencies with its diversified cross-border payments platform.

Executives

Itai Perry	officer: SVP Finance	C/O CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 206 E. 9TH STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
Technology Crossover Management Viii, Ltd.	10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(d) group	C/O TECHNOLOGY CROSSOVER VENTURES, 250 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Scott H. Galit	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O FTAC OLYMPUS ACQUISITION CORP., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 1703, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Avi Zeevi	director	C/O FTAC OLYMPUS ACQUISITION CORP., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 1703, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Tsafi Goldman	officer: CL&RO	C/O FTAC OLYMPUS ACQUISITION CORP., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 1703, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Beatrice Ordonez	officer: Chief Financial Officer	TWO BLUE HILL PLAZA - SECOND FLOOR, PEARL RIVER NY 10965
Arnon Kraft	officer: Chief Operating Officer	150 W 30TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10001
Susanna Morgan	director	1111 THIRD AVENUE, ST. 2100, C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., SEATTLE WA 98101
Caro Del Castillo Sharda	director	C/O AFFIRM HOLDINGS, INC., 650 CALIFORNIA STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Michael G Levine	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O FTAC OLYMPUS ACQUISITION CORP., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 1703, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Robert Kl Clarkson	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	150 W 30TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10001
Assaf Ronen	officer: Chief Platform Officer	234 1ST ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
John C. Morris	director	C/O VISA INC., P.O. BOX 8999, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94128-8999
John Caplan	director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer	C/O PAYONEER GLOBAL INC. 150 W. 30TH ST, NEW YORK NY 10001
Gilad Gruber	officer: Chief Technology Officer	150 W. 30TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001