PCOR (Procore Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is Procore Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Procore Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Procore Technologies Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Procore Technologies Inc (NYSE:PCOR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

5PT:Germany P2CO34:Brazil

Address

6309 Carpinteria Avenue, Carpinteria, CA, USA, 93013

Website

https://www.procore.com

Procore Technologies Inc is a cloud-based construction management software company. It generates revenue through subscriptions for access to its software products. The company's products include Design Coordination, BIM, Field Productivity, Project Financials, Invoice Management, Portfolio Financials, Capital Planning, Accounting Integrations, and Analytics. The software products are hosted on its cloud-based SaaS construction management platform. Subscriptions are sold for a fixed fee and revenue is recognized ratably over the term of the subscription.

Executives

Howard Fu	officer: CFO & Treasurer	6309 CARPINTERIA AVE, CARPINTERIA CA 93013
Benjamin C Singer	officer: Chief Legal Officer; Secretary	5 CROSBY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10013
O Connor Kevin J	director	C/O DOUBLECLICK INC., 111 EIGHTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Kathryn Bueker	director	C/O HUBSPOT, INC., 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Steven Scott Davis	officer: President Product & Technology	6309 CARPINTERIA AVE, CARPINTERIA CA 93013
Griffith William J.g.	director, 10 percent owner	21300 VICTORY BLVD., 12TH FLOOR, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Iconiq Strategic Partners Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	50 BEALE ST., STE 2300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Elisa Steele	director	1601 CLOVERFIELD BLVD, STE 620 SOUTH, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Courtemanche Craig F. Jr.	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer, other: Chairman of the Board	6309 CARPINTERIA AVE, CARPINTERIA CA 93013
Fleming William Fred Jr	officer: VP, Corporate Controller	6309 CARPINTERIA AVE, CARPINTERIA CA 93013
Joy Driscoll Durling	officer: Chief Data Officer	772 UTAH VALLEY DRIVE, AMERICAN FORK UT 84003
Nanci Caldwell	director	C/O DELTEK, INC., 2291 WOOD OAK DRIVE, HERNDON VA 20171
Graham Smith	director	301 BRANNMAN ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Paul Lyandres	officer: Chief Financial Officer	6309 CARPINTERIA AVE, CARPINTERIA CA 93013
Dennis Lyandres	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	6309 CARPINTERIA AVE, CARPINTERIA CA 93013