PHP Ventures Acquisition (PHP Ventures Acquisition) Predictability Rank

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What is PHP Ventures Acquisition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

PHP Ventures Acquisition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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PHP Ventures Acquisition (PHP Ventures Acquisition) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » PHP Ventures Acquisition Corp (NAS:PPHP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Jalan SS15/4G, CT 10-06, Level 10, Corporate Tower Subang Square, Subang Jaya, SGR, MYS, 47500

Website

https://www.phpventures.com

PHP Ventures Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.

Executives

Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	10 percent owner	16 YORK STREET SUITE 2900, TORONTO A6 M5J 0E6
Atlas Merchant Capital Llc	10 percent owner	477 MADISON AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Yakira Capital Management, Inc.	10 percent owner	1555 POST ROAD EAST, SUITE 202, WESTPORT CT 06880
Garry Richard Stein	officer: Chief Financial Officer	FLAT LB, 6/F, TOWER 3, AMBER HEMERA, OF LOHAS PARK, 1 LOHAS PARK ROAD, TSEUNG KWAN O, NEW TERRITORIES K3 00000
Plc Barclays	10 percent owner	1 CHURCHILL PLACE, CANARY WHARF, LONDON X0 E14 5HP
Antony Gordon	director	C/O FISCHER ZIZBLATT & KISS, 1800 AVE OF THE STARS #320, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Global Link Investment Llc	10 percent owner	25, JALAN SS19/4E, SUBANG JAYA, SELANGOR N8 47500
Ngoh Marcus Choo Yeow	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	CT10-06 LEVEL 10 CORPORATE TOWER SUBANG, JALAN SS 15/4G SUBANG JAYA, SELANGOR N8 47500
Anih Donald Nnamdi Esq.	director	16/18 OREMEJI STREET, LIVERPOOL ESTATE, SATELLITE TOWN, LAGOS Q5 102262
Phoon Khye Wang	director	29-2, JALAN RADIN ANUM 2, SRI PETALING, KUALA LUMPUR N8 57000