Perimeter Solutions (Perimeter Solutions) Predictability Rank

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What is Perimeter Solutions Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Perimeter Solutions Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Perimeter Solutions (Perimeter Solutions) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Perimeter Solutions SA (NYSE:PRM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

6OL:Germany

Address

12E Rue Guillaume Kroll, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg, LUX, L-1882

Website

https://www.perimeter-solutions.com

Perimeter Solutions SA is a global manufacturer of firefighting products and lubricant additives. The company operates in two business segments namely Fire Safety and Specialty Products. Geographically, the company generates majority of the revenue from United States.

Executives

Khouri Haitham	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O PERIMETER SOLUTIONS, SA, 12E RUE GUILLAUME KROLL L1882 LUXEMBOURG, GRAND DUCHY N4 00000
Tracy Britt Cool	director	C/O BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC., 3555 FARNAM STREET, OMAHA NE 68131
Windacre Partnership Master Fund, Lp	10 percent owner	2200 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 1580, HOUSTON TX 77056
Charles W. Kropp	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O PERIMETER SOLUTIONS, SA, 12E RUE GUILLAUME KROLL L1882 LUXEMBOURG, GRAND DUCHY N4 00000
Jeffrey Emery	officer: President - Global Fire Safety	C/O PERIMETER SOLUTIONS, SA, 12E RUE GUILLAUME KROLL L1882 LUXEMBOURG, GRAND DUCHY N4 00000
Iversen Bernt G Ii	director	CHAMPION AEROSPACE INC, 1230 OLD NORRIS ROAD, LIBERTY SC 29657
Kevin M Stein	director	TRANSDIGM GROUP INCORPORATED, 1301 EAST 9TH STREET, SUITE 3000, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Edward D. Goldberg	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O PERIMETER SOLUTIONS, SA, 12E RUE GUILLAUME KROLL L1882 LUXEMBOURG, GRAND DUCHY N4 00000
Windacre Partnership Llc	10 percent owner	2200 POST OAK BOULEVARD, SUITE 1580, HOUSTON TX 77056
Snehal Amin	10 percent owner	2200 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 1580, HOU TX 77056
Sean P Hennessy	director	C/O THE SHERWIN WILLIAMS CO, 101 PROSPECT AVE NW, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Windacre General Partner Lp	10 percent owner	2200 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 1580, HOUSTON TX 77056
Kremling Ernest C. Ii	officer: Chief Operating Officer	9555 WEST SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY SOUTH, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77099
Noriko Yokozuka	officer: General Counsel	C/O PERIMETER SOLUTIONS, SA, 12E RUE GUILLAUME KROLL L1882 LUXEMBOURG, GRAND DUCHY N4 00000
Stephen Cornwall	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O PERIMETER SOLUTIONS, SA, 12E RUE GUILLAUME KROLL L1882 LUXEMBOURG, GRAND DUCHY N4 00000