GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » PhoneX Holdings Inc (OTCPK:PXHI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

PhoneX Holdings (PhoneX Holdings) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2007. Start your Free Trial

What is PhoneX Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

PhoneX Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

PhoneX Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PhoneX Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

PhoneX Holdings (PhoneX Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » PhoneX Holdings Inc (OTCPK:PXHI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
WAR:HUB SMKC TKAT WAR:OUT WAR:MCE NGM:NTGR ASX:AHL XTER:WDLK WAR:P24 BOM:538765 BOM:524622 WAR:7FT TSXV:FSW.H WAR:INB XAMS:ALX VTNLD BOM:535694 RBZ XPAR:MLVAP XKLS:0041
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
150 Executive Dr, Suite Q, Edgewood, NY, USA, 11717
Website
https://www.wesellcellular.com
PhoneX Holdings Inc is a technology-based company engaged in creating an online marketplace for used smartphones. It operates through an e-commerce website-based service and a wholly-owned subsidiary. The web portal includes saleable items such as iPhones, iPods, tablets and other electronic devices. It derives revenue either by taking possession of devices and selling these devices for a premium or by facilitating transactions between buyers and sellers and collecting a commission.
Executives
Piton Capital Partners Llc 10 percent owner C/O NORTH BAY ASSOCIATES, 14000 QUAIL SPRINGS PARKWAY, SUITE 2200, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73134
Daniel Brauser director 171 MADISON AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Leslie J Schreyer 10 percent owner C/O NORTON ROSE FULBRIGHT US LLP, 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019
Cornice Fiduciary Management Llc 10 percent owner C/O WILLOW STREET GROUP, LLC, 270 W. PEARL AVENUE, SUITE 104, JACKSON WY 83001
Peter Benz director 171 MADISON AVE., 17 FL.,, NEW YORK NY 10016
Grant Fitzwilliam director 171 MADISON AVE., 17 FL.,, NEW YORK NY 10016
Robert M Averick 10 percent owner KOKINO LLC, 201 TRESSER BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Perlus Microcap Fund L.p. 10 percent owner CRICKET SQUARE, HUTCHINS DRIVE, P.O. BOX 268, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1111
Michael Brauser director, 10 percent owner 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD., SUITE 850, MIAMI FL 33137
M3c Holdings Llc 10 percent owner C/O NORTH BAY ASSOCIATES, 14000 QUAIL SPRINGS PARKWAY, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73134
Charles Pearlman director 1 EAST BROWARD BLVD., FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Todd Oretsky 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 330 SW 2ND STREET, SUITE 209, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33312