RXT (Rackspace Technology) Predictability Rank

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What is Rackspace Technology Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Rackspace Technology Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Rackspace Technology Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Rackspace Technology Inc (NAS:RXT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

19122 US Highway 281 North, Suite 128, San Antonio, TX, USA, 78258

Website

https://www.rackspace.com

Rackspace Technology Inc is an end-to-end, hybrid, multi cloud technology services company. It designs, builds and operates its customers' cloud environments across all technology platforms, irrespective of technology stack or deployment model. The company's solutions include Application Services; Data; Colocation; Cloud; Managed Hosting; Professional Services; and Security & Compliance. It operates in segments namely, Private Cloud, and Public Cloud. It generates revenue through the sale of consumption-based contracts for its service offerings and from the sale of professional services related to designing and building custom solutions.

Executives

Amar Maletira	officer: President & CFO	C/O VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC., 430 NORTH MCCARTHY BOULEVARD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Srini Koushik	officer: Chief Technology Officer	1 FANATICAL PLACE, CITY OF WINDCREST, SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Dharmendra Kumar Sinha	officer: EVP, President, Public Cloud	C/O COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORP, 300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD., STE. 36, 6 FL., TEANECK NJ 07666
Mark A. Marino	other: Vice President & CAO	1 FANATICAL PLACE, CITY OF WINDCREST, SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Kellie Teal-guess	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	1 FANATICAL PLACE, C/O RACKSPACE TECHNOLOGY, INC., SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Anthony C. Roberts	director	1 FANATICAL PLACE, SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Brian Lillie	officer: EVP, President Private Cloud	1485 BROOKMILL ROAD, LOS ALTOS CA 94024
Casey L. Shilling	officer: SVP - Chief Marketing Officer	1 FANATICAL PLACE, CITY OF WINDCREST, SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Rackspace Technology, Inc.	director	1 FANATICAL PLACE, CITY OF WINDCREST, SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Anthony Scott	director	25501 WEST VALLEY PARKWAY, OLATHE KS 66061
Betsy S Atkins	director
Naushaza Molu	officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer	1 FANATICAL PLACE, SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Shashank Samant	director	6600 NORTH MILITARY TRAIL, LEGAL DEPARTMENT, BOCA RATON FL 33496
Gregory S. Hrncir	officer: SVP - Chief Operations Officer	1 FANATICAL PLACE, CITY OF WINDCREST, SAN ANTONIO TX 78218
Timothy Campos	director	C/O JDS UNIPHASE CORPORATION, 430 N MCCARTHY BOULEVARD, MILPITAS CA 95035