SBFM (Sunshine Biopharma) Predictability Rank

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What is Sunshine Biopharma Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sunshine Biopharma Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Sunshine Biopharma Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Sunshine Biopharma Inc (NAS:SBFM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1177 Avenue of the Americas, 5th Floor, Pointe-Claire, QC, CAN, H9R 0A5

Website

https://www.sunshinebiopharma.com

Sunshine Biopharma Inc is a pharmaceutical company offering and researching life-saving medicines in a wide variety of therapeutic areas, including oncology and antivirals. The company is conducting a proprietary drug development program which is comprised of (i) K1.1 mRNA targeted for liver cancer, (ii) SBFM-PL4, PLpro protease inhibitor for SARS Coronavirus infections, and (iii) Adva-27a for pancreatic cancer. The company has two reportable segments: Prescription Generic Pharmaceuticals ("Generic Pharmaceuticals") and Nonprescription Over-The-Counter Products ("OTC Products"). The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Generic Pharmaceuticals segment.

Executives

Camille Sebaaly	director, officer: CFO and Secretary	14464 GOUIN W., #B, MONTREAL A8 H9H 1B1
Malek Chamoun	10 percent owner	1730 RUE SAINT-PATRICK UNIT 601, MONTREAL Z4 H3K0B2
David Natan	director	11190 BISCAYNE BLVD, MIAMI FL 33181
Andrew Mark Keller	director	10 ISLAND DRIVE, NORWALK CT 06855
Andrew I Telsey	director	6198 SOUTH MOLINE COURT, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
James Daniel Kish	director	6456 S QUEBEC ST., SUITE 550, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Rabi Kiderchah	director	924 PIERRE-DANSEREAU AVE, APT 206, TERREBONNE A8 J6Y 0N3
Advanomics Corp	10 percent owner	579 RUE LAJEUNESSE, LAVAL A8 H7X 3K4
Steve N. Slilaty	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and President	579 RUE LAJEUNESSE, LAVAL A8 H7X 3K4
Abderrazzak Merzouki	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	731 PLACE DE L'EEAU VIVE, LAVAL A8 H7Y 2E1
Turi Michele Di	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	3100 BOUL. DES GOUVERNEURS, LAVAL A8 H7E 5J3