SpringBig Holdings (SpringBig Holdings) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is SpringBig Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

SpringBig Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

SpringBig Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SpringBig Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

SpringBig Holdings (SpringBig Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » SpringBig Holdings Inc (OTCPK:SBIG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

621 North West 53rd Street, Suite 250, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33487

Website

https://www.springbig.com

SpringBig Holdings Inc is a software platform providing customer loyalty and marketing automation solutions to cannabis retailers and brands in the U.S. and Canada. The company's platform connects consumers with retailers and brands, through SMS marketing, emails, customer feedback system, and loyalty programs, to support retailers' and brands' customer engagement and retention.

Executives

Paul Sykes	officer: Chief Financial Officer	621 NW 53RD STREET, SUITE 250, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Jeffrey Todd Harris	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	621 NW 53RD STREET, SUITE 260, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Steven E Bernstein	director	C/O SBA COMMUNICATIONS CORP, ONE TOWN CENTER ROAD - THIRD FLOOR, BOCO RATON FL 83486
Jonathan Trauben	director	621 NW 53RD STREET, SUITE 250, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Patricia Glassford	director	621 NW 53RD STREET, SUITE 250, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Philip Schwarz	director	C/O CORAZON CAPITAL, 1322 WEST HENDERSON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60657
Tuatara Capital Fund Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	12 EAST 44TH STREET, 8FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Medici Holdings V, Inc.	10 percent owner	621 NW 53RD STREET, SUITE 250, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Amanda Lannert	director	621 NW 53RD STREET, SUITE 250, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Navin Anand	officer: Chief Technology Officer	621 NW 53RD STREET, SUITE 250, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Tcac Sponsor, Llc	10 percent owner	TUATARA CAPITAL, L.P., 655 THIRD AVENUE, 8TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Mark Zittman	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	TUATARA CAPITAL, L.P., 655 THIRD AVENUE, 8TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Sergey Sherman	officer: Chief Financial Officer	TUATARA CAPITAL, L.P., 655 THIRD AVENUE, 8TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Albert John Foreman	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	TUATARA CAPITAL, L.P., 655 THIRD AVENUE, 8TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Aris Kekedjian	director	655 THIRD AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, 10017 NY 10017