Bund Center Investment (SGX:BTE) Predictability Rank

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SGX:BTE Bund Center Investment Ltd SGX:BTE
52 GF Score
Price S$0.41
GF Value S$0.42
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Bund Center Investment Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Bund Center Investment Predictability Rank Related Terms

SGX:BTE
52GF Score
Bund Center Investment Ltd SGX:BTE
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Bund Center Investment Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Bund Center Investment (SGX:BTE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bund Center Investment stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of S$0.41 is trading 2.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of S$0.42. GuruFocus considers Bund Center Investment to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SGX:BTE:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: S$0.42 vs. price of S$0.41 (2.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SGX:BTE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Bund Center Investment Business Description

Address 222 Yan\'an East Road, Room 3801, Office Building, Shanghai, CHN, 200002
Bund Center Investment Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in property-related businesses in the People's Republic of China (PRC), with a focus on commercial and hospitality properties. The assets in its portfolio include the Bund Center Office Tower, an office building in Shanghai; the Westin Bund Center, Shanghai, a five-star luxury hotel managed by Marriott International; and Golden Center, a retail complex in Ningbo. The group's reportable segments are Property Leasing and Hotel. Maximum revenue is generated from the Hotel segment. The Property segment is engaged in the ownership and leasing of investment properties. Geographically, all of its activities are carried out in the People's Republic of China.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SGX:BTE

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

S$0.41
Price
S$0.42
GF Value