SHRG (Sharing Services Global) Predictability Rank

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What is Sharing Services Global Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sharing Services Global Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Sharing Services Global Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Sharing Services Global Corp (OTCPK:SHRG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5200 Tennyson Parkway, Suite 400, Plano, TX, USA, 75024

Website

https://www.shrginc.com

Sharing Services Global Corp is a diversified holding company specializing in the direct selling industry. The company owns, operates, or controls an interest in various companies that sell products and services to the consumer directly through independent representatives ranging from health and wellness, energy, technology, insurance services, training, media, and travel benefits. Its operating segment includes Sale of health and wellness products and the sale of member-based travel services through an independent sales force. The company derives the maximum revenue from the Health and wellness products segment. Geographically, it generates a majority of its revenue from the United States.

Executives

Chan Heng Fai Ambrose	director, other: Exec. Chairman of the Board	2601 INSLAND PLACE TOWER, 510 KINGS RD N POINT, HONG KONG K3 999999999
Document Security Systems Inc	10 percent owner	275 WIREGRASS PKWY, WEST HENRIETTA NY 14586
Anthony S. Chan	officer: Chief Financial Officer	228 YANJIANG AVE., JIANGAN DIST., BLDG A, WUHAN CITY F4 430010
Steven Mark Nicholls	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1700 COIT ROAD, SUITE 100, PLANO TX 75075
Robert H Trapp	director	C/O EVISION INTERNATIONAL INC., 1888 SHERMAN ST. #500, DENVER CO 80203
Sassuan (samson) Lee	director	200 CANAL VIEW BLVD., SUITE 300, ROCHESTER NY 14623
Frank D Heuszel	director	275 WIREGRASS PKWY, WEST HENRIETTA, NEW YORK NY 14586
Frank Walters	director, officer: SECRETARY, TREASURER, CFO	C/O SHARING SERVICES, INC., 1701 COIT ROAD, SUITE 100, PLANO TX 75075
Keith R Halls	director	75 W CENTER ST, PROVO UT 84601
Kip Hughes Allison	director	7200 DALLAS PKWY, #2322, PLANO TX 75024
John Thatch	director, officer: PRESIDENT, CEO	C/O SHARING SERVICES, INC., 1701 COIT ROAD, SUITE 100, PLANO TX 75075
Bear Bull Market Dividends, Inc.	10 percent owner	600 ANTON BLVD. 11TH FLOOR, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Alchemist Holdings Llc	10 percent owner	1415 LEGACY DRIVE, SUITE 310, FRISCO TX 75034