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SKYX (SKYX Platforms) Predictability Rank


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What is SKYX Platforms Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


SKYX Platforms Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

SKYX Platforms Predictability Rank Related Terms

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SKYX Platforms Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2855 West McNab Road, Pompano Beach, FL, USA, 33069
SKYX Platforms Corp operates in the business of developing proprietary technology that enables a quick and safe installation of electrical fixtures, such as light fixtures and ceiling fans. The company's technology consists of a weight-bearing, fixable socket and a revolving plug for conducting electric power and supporting an electrical appliance attached to a wall or ceiling. The socket is comprised of a nonconductive body that houses conductive rings connectable to an electric power supply through terminals in its side exterior. The plug is also comprised of a nonconductive body that houses corresponding conductive rings, attaches to the socket via a male post and is capable of feeding electric power to an appliance. The Company generates its income from the United States.
Executives
John P. Campi officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SAFETY QUICK LIGHTING & FANS CORP., 4400 NORTH POINT PARKWAY, SUITE 154, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Ran Roland Kohen director, 10 percent owner 20735 NE 32 PL, AVENTURA FL 33180
Dov Shiff director, 10 percent owner C/O SAFETY QUICK LIGHTING & FANS CORP., 4400 NORTH POINT PARKWAY, SUITE 154, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Steven Mark Schmidt officer: President 36 S. PENNSYLVANIA STREET, SUITE 500, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Nancy Dimattia director C/O 14000 CARLSON PARKWAY, PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Marc Andre Boisseau officer: Chief Financial Officer 1650 OAKBROOK DRIVE, NORCROSS GA 30093
Patricia Ann Barron officer: Chief Operations Officer 4400 NORTH POINT PARKWAY, SUITE 154, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Gary N Golden director C/O SQL TECHNOLOGIES CORP., 11030 JONES BRIDGE ROAD, STE. 206, JOHNS CREEK GA 30022
Greenstein Brayer Efrat L director C/O SQL TECHNOLOGIES CORP., 11030 JONES BRIDGE ROAD, STE. 206, JOHNS CREEK GA 30022
Mark J Wells officer: President 1219 WEST 67TH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44102
Leonard J Sokolow director REGATTA OFFICE PARK, WINDWARD THREE, 4TH FLOOR, WEST BAY ROAD, P.O. BOX 1114, GRAND CAYMAN E9 E9 KY11102
Thomas J Ridge director C/O SAFETY QUICK LIGHTING & FANS CORP., 4400 NORTH POINT PARKWAY, SUITE 154, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Phillips S. Peter director C/O SAFETY QUICK LIGHTING & FANS CORP., 4400 NORTH POINT PARKWAY, SUITE 154, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Montek 7 Sql Llc 10 percent owner C/O SAFETY QUICK LIGHTING & FANS CORP., 4400 NORTH POINT PARKWAY, SUITE 154, ALPHARETTA GA 30022

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