SONX (Sonendo) Predictability Rank

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What is Sonendo Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sonendo Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Sonendo Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Sonendo Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Sonendo Inc (OTCPK:SONX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

26061 Merit Circle, Suite 102, Laguna Hills, CA, USA, 92653

Website

https://www.sonendo.com

Sonendo Inc is a commercial-stage medical technology company focused on saving teeth from tooth decay, the prevalent chronic disease globally. It has developed the GentleWave System, a technology platform designed to treat tooth decay by cleaning and disinfecting the microscopic spaces within teeth without the need to remove tooth structure. The Company operates in two business segments, Product segment which derives key revenue, and Software. Product segment includes sales of the Company's GentleWave System console and related accessories and instruments. Software segment includes sales of the Company's traditional software licenses for practice management software to enable an integrated digital office for endodontists.

Executives

Bjarne Bergheim	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O SONENDO, INC., 2601 MERIT CIRCLE, SUITE 102, LAGUNA HILLS CA 92653
Roy T Chen	officer: Chief Talent Officer	C/O SONENDO, INC., 2601 MERIT CIRCLE, SUITE 102, LAGUNA HILLS CA 92653
Olav Bergheim	director, 10 percent owner	ONE PALMER SQUARE, PRINCETON NJ 08542
Pudipeddi Vamsi Mohan Raj	director	2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Michael Patrick Watts	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SONENDO, INC., 2601 MERIT CIRCLE, SUITE 102, LAGUNA HILLS CA 92653
Michael John Smith	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O SONENDO, INC., 2601 MERIT CIRCLE, SUITE 102, LAGUNA HILLS CA 92653
Andrew J Kirkpatrick	officer: Chief Operating Officer	1310 CHESAPEAKE TERRACE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
General Atlantic, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
Bihl Anthony P Iii	director	807 SMITH RIDGE ROAD, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Mehrezad Khakpour	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O SONENDO, INC., 2601 MERIT CIRCLE, SUITE 102, LAGUNA HILLS CA 92653
Jacqueline Arnold Collins	officer: VP, General Counsel	C/O SONENDO, INC., 2601 MERIT CIRCLE, SUITE 102, LAGUNA HILLS CA 92653
Carolyn Beaver	director	3595 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
General Atlantic (soi), L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O GENERAL ATLANTIC SERVICE COMPANY, LP, 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
General Atlantic Partners (bermuda) Eu, L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O GENERAL ATLANTIC SERVICE COMPANY LP, 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
Gap Coinvestments V, Llc	10 percent owner	55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055