SRNW (Stratos Renewables) Predictability Rank

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What is Stratos Renewables Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Stratos Renewables Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Stratos Renewables Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Stratos Renewables Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Stratos Renewables Corp (OTCPK:SRNW) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3535 Executive Terminal Drive, Henderson, NV, USA, 89052

Website

https://www.stratosrenewables.com

Stratos Renewables Corp is a shell company and is exploring opportunities to identify targets for acquisition.

Executives

I2bf Biodiesel Ltd	10 percent owner	650 PAGE MILL ROAD, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Leonard Brooks	director	9440 LITTLE SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 401, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Thomas Charles Snyder	officer: President	AVENUE DE MESSIDOR 310, BRUSSELS C9 1180
Stephen L Norris	director	1701 SOUTH FLAGLER DRIVE 1807, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Valerie A Broadbent	officer: SECRETARY	9440 LITTLE SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 401, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Sanjay Pai	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	200 EAST 64TH STREET 4B, NEW YORK NY 10065
Luis Humberto Goyzueta	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	CALLE LOS EUCHARIZ 150, DPTO 201, MONTERRICO R5 PERU
Goyzueta Angobaldo Gustavo Adolfo	officer: Secretary	CALLE LA CORUNA 149, URB. LA ESTANCIA, LA MOLINA, LIMA R5 12
Steven Magami	director, 10 percent owner	C/O ARC INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LLC, 9440 LITTLE SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 400, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Julio Cesar Alonso	officer: Chief Financial Officer	9440 LITTLE SANTA MONICA, SUITE 401, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Carlos Antonio Salas	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	9440 LITTLE SANTA MONICA, SUITE 401, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
De Las Casas Luis Francisco	director	9440 LITTLE SANTA MONICA, SUITE 401, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Jorge Eduardo Aza	officer: Chief Operating Officer	9440 LITTLE SANTA MONICA, SUITE 401, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210

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