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SS Innovations International (SS Innovations International) Predictability Rank


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What is SS Innovations International Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

SS Innovations International Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

SS Innovations International Predictability Rank Related Terms

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SS Innovations International (SS Innovations International) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » SS Innovations International Inc (OTCPK:SSII) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
PRCT NVCR ATEC TMDX UFPT TNDM INMD AHCO PACB AVNS ABT SYK MDT BSX SZSE:300760 EW DXCM ZBH STE XAMS:PHIA
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1500 SE 15th Street, Suite 512, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33316
Website
https://www.ssinnovations.com
SS Innovations International Inc, formerly Avra Medical Robotics Inc develops medical-surgical devices. It invests in four areas including surgical robotic systems, surgical tools, implantable devices, and surgical robotic training. It is a medical robotics company developing a fully autonomous medical robotic system using proprietary software which integrates Artificial Intelligence and Deep Learning, or machine learning. By using an AI and DL-enhanced software program, the company is creating an intelligent robotic system that it believes can robotize a wide range of medical procedures currently being performed by human hands.
Executives
Barry F Cohen director, officer: COO 1600 SOUTHEAST 15TH STREET, APT 512, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33316
Sudhir Srivastava director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O AVRA SURGICAL ROBOTICS, ONE LIBERTY PLAZA, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10006
Kumar Sethi Anup officer: Chief Financial Officer C-102, DREAM APARTMENTS,, PLOT-14, SECTOR 22, DWARKA, NEW DEHLI K7 110077
Pascual Srivastava Vishwajyoti officer: President 28 HAARBAA, TRIAVENI GARDENS COMPLEX, GADAIPUR MEHRA, NEW DEHLI K7 110030
Sampige Prasannakumar Somashekar director APT 9J, NEST NO 8, 303 LG HALFI, RMV II, BANGALORE K7 560094
Annadurai Mylswamy director #344, NTI LAYOUT, 10TH MAIN, VIDHYARANYAPURA, BANGALORE K7 560067