Kanzhun (STU:8JN) Predictability Rank


STU:8JN Kanzhun Ltd STU:8JN
73 GF Score
Price €11.50
GF Value €19.81
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Kanzhun Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Kanzhun Predictability Rank Related Terms

STU:8JN
73GF Score
Kanzhun Ltd STU:8JN
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Kanzhun Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Kanzhun (STU:8JN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kanzhun stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €11.50 is trading 41.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €19.81. GuruFocus considers Kanzhun to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:8JN:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: €19.81 vs. price of €11.50 (41.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:8JN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kanzhun Business Description

Other Exchanges BZ:USA02076:Hong Kong
Address Taiyanggong Middle Road, 21st Floor, GrandyVic Building, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100020
Kanzhun's Boss Zhipin job platform connects job seekers and employers. Boss Zhipin is China's largest online recruitment platform based on monthly active users, or MAU, and was established in 2014. Kanzhun earns revenue by providing services to enterprise customers primarily through its mobile app, which promotes engagement between recruiters and workers and operates on a recommendation basis powered by artificial intelligence. The platform specializes in transportation, logistics, construction, and service-based industries. About 85% of the companies looking to hire are small and medium-size enterprises. Its main competitors are 58.com, 51job, and Zhilian Zhaopin. Tencent has a 9.2% stake in Kanzhun.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:8JN

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€11.50
Price
€19.81
GF Value