Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop (SZSE:300792) Predictability Rank

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SZSE:300792 Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop SZSE:300792
83 GF Score
Price ¥23.55
GF Value ¥20.38
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop Predictability Rank Related Terms

SZSE:300792
83GF Score
Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop SZSE:300792
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop (SZSE:300792) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ¥23.55 is trading 15.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ¥20.38. GuruFocus considers Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SZSE:300792:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: ¥20.38 vs. price of ¥23.55 (15.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SZSE:300792 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop Business Description

Address No. 6 Xiasha Street, 12th Floor, Building 2, Singapore Science and Technology Park, Jianggan District, Hangzhou, CHN, 310018
Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop is a Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) vertical marketing e-commerce operator. The major business of the company is providing e-commerce operating service which is covering all channels of the network for well-known FMCG brands at home and abroad. It offers one package service which contains image-building of brand, design and planning of product, integrated marketing planning, visual design, big data analysis, online brand operation, precise advertising, CRM management, pre-sales and after-sales service, warehousing and logistics, which will assist brands to improve their popularity and market share.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SZSE:300792

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥23.55
Price
¥20.38
GF Value