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TriSalus Life Sciences (TriSalus Life Sciences) Predictability Rank


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What is TriSalus Life Sciences Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

TriSalus Life Sciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

TriSalus Life Sciences Predictability Rank Related Terms

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TriSalus Life Sciences (TriSalus Life Sciences) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » TriSalus Life Sciences Inc (NAS:TLSI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
INGN HYBT HYPR CLPT ELMD TELA MGRM AXDX APYX NSPR ABT SYK MDT BSX SZSE:300760 EW DXCM ZBH STE XAMS:PHIA
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6272 W. 91st Avenue, Westminster, CO, USA, 80031
Website
https://trisaluslifesci.com
TriSalus Life Sciences Inc is an oncology company integrating standard-of-care treatments and its investigational immunotherapeutic, SD-101, with disruptive Pressure Enabled Drug Delivery infusion systems to transform the treatment paradigm for patients battling liver and pancreatic tumors. TriSalus is a commercial-stage medical device and Phase I clinical-stage pharmaceutical company.
Executives
Jodi Devlin officer: President, Therapeutics C/O TRISALUS LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 6272 W. 91ST AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
James Alecxih officer: President, Device Technology C/O NEVRO CORP., 1800 BRIDGE PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Bryan F. Cox officer: Chief Scientific & Manufact. C/O TRISALUS LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 6272 W. 91ST AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Kerry R Hicks director C/O HEALTHGRADES.COM, 44 UNION BLVD SUITE 600, LAKEOOD CO 80228
George Kelly Martin director C/O TRISALUS LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 6272 W. 91ST AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Jennifer Stevens officer: Chief Regulatory Officer C/O TRISALUS LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 6272 W. 91ST AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Richard Marshak officer: Sr.VP, Corp. Dev. & Strategy C/O TRISALUS LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 6272 W. 91ST AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Mary T Szela director, officer: CEO and President 10835 ROAD TO THE CURE, SUITE 205, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Anil K. Singhal director C/O TRISALUS LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 6272 W. 91ST AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Sean Murphy director, officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O NOVAN, INC., 4222 EMPEROR BOULEVAND, SUITE 200, DURHAM NC 27703
Arjun Jj Desai director C/O TRISALUS LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 6272 W. 91ST AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Steven C Katz officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O TRISALUS LIFE SCIENCES, INC., 6272 W. 91ST AVENUE, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Mats Wahlstrom director, 10 percent owner 500 GOLDEN RIDGE ROAD, SUITE 100, GOLDEN CO 80401
Von Eschenbach Andrew C. director C/O BLCO, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Equity Ab Frankenius 10 percent owner BOX 984, BORAS V7 SE-501 10