WAST (Waste Energy) Predictability Rank

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What is Waste Energy Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Waste Energy Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Waste Energy Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Waste Energy Corp (OTCPK:WAST) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3250 Oakland Hills Court, Fairfield, CA, USA, 94534

Website

https://www.metaworksplatforms.io

Waste Energy Corp is a waste-to-energy company that specializes in converting plastic and tire waste into valuable energy products and environmental commodities. The company's mission is to address the plastic and tire waste crisis by offering a sustainable and economically viable solution. Utilizing thermal conversion technology, Waste Energy Corp transforms waste materials into clean diesel fuel, carbon black, and synthetic gas. Beyond its core operations, the company is also developing a patent-pending AI-based technology for emissions monitoring, management, and automated carbon credit generation. This innovation aims to improve transparency and efficiency within environmental markets.

Executives

Scott Gallagher	officer: President	3415 LOGGERHEAD WAY, WESLEY CHAPEL FL 33544
Shelly Marie Murphy	director	1803 W ENCINAS ST., GILBERT AZ 85233
James P Geiskopf	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President Secretary Treasurer	901 HANCOCK AVENUE, UNIT 308, WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Cameron Chell	director, officer: President and CEO	561 BROOKS AVENUE, VENICE BEACH CA 90291
Swapan Kakumanu	officer: Chief Financial Officer	193 SIMCOE CIRCLE, CALGARY A0 T3H 4S3
Edmund C. Moy	director	130 ANDOVER PARK EAST SUITE 200, SEATTLE WA 98188
Alphonso Jackson	director	1411 KEY BLVD., UNIT 601, ARLINGTON VA 22209
James Michael Carter	director	12532 23RD AVENUE, SURREY A1 V4A 2C4
Bruce Gordon Elliott	officer: President	6 KERMODE ROAD, CROSBY Y8 1M4 4BZ
Michael Alexander Blum	director, officer: CFO, Secretary, Treasurer	2212 GLENBROOK WAY, LAS VEGAS NV 89117