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WOLV (Wolverine Resources) Predictability Rank


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What is Wolverine Resources Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Wolverine Resources Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Wolverine Resources Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Wolverine Resources's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Wolverine Resources Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Wolverine Resources Corp (OTCPK:WOLV) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
NWIFF FUST LTUM ENRT NRHI CEGMF LBSR LBRMF SVBL ASX:BHP ASX:RIO LSE:RIO SAU:1211 LSE:GLEN MEX:GMEXICOB BSP:VALE3 LSE:AAL ASX:FMG BOM:500188 HKSE:03993
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11020-Williams Road, Suite 55, Richmond, BC, CAN, V7A 1X8
Website
https://www.wolverineresourcescorp.com
Wolverine Resources Corp is an exploration stage mining company engaged in the business of identification, acquisition, and exploration of metals and minerals with a focus on base and precious metals. Its projects include Labrador property located in Canada, which is also known as Cache river property, and Frog property.
Executives
Slade Dyer director 33219 BROWN CRESCENT, MISSION A1 V2V 2R3
Donald Kenneth Bowins director 8955 EMIRY STREET, MISSION A1 V4S 1A6
Richard Dean Haderer director, officer: CEO & CFO 103 HUNTCROFT PLACE NE, CALGARY A0 T2K 4E6
Rich Resources Inc. 10 percent owner 3 PIWAS STREET, PO BOX 65, NATUASHISH A4 A0P 1A0
Craig Young director 2612 TELFORD DRIVE, KAMLOOPS A1 V1S 0A3
Bruce Edward Costerd director, officer: CEO #55-11020 WILLIAMS ROAD, RICHMOND A1 V7A 1X8
Lee Costerd director, officer: President & Secretary 4055 MCLEAN ROAD, QUESNEL A1 V2J 6V5
Luke Rich director, officer: VP Expl. & Business Devlp. P.O. BOX 65, NATUASHISH A4 A0P 1A0
David Ian Chalk director 20629 86A AVENUE, LANGLEY A1 V1M 3X3

Wolverine Resources Headlines

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