Shin Yang Group Bhd (XKLS:5173) Predictability Rank


XKLS:5173 Shin Yang Group Bhd XKLS:5173
70 GF Score
Price RM0.78
GF Value RM1.42
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
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What is Shin Yang Group Bhd Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Shin Yang Group Bhd Predictability Rank Related Terms

XKLS:5173
70GF Score
Shin Yang Group Bhd XKLS:5173
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Shin Yang Group Bhd Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Shin Yang Group Bhd (XKLS:5173) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shin Yang Group Bhd stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of RM0.78 is trading 45.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of RM1.42. GuruFocus considers Shin Yang Group Bhd to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XKLS:5173:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: RM1.42 vs. price of RM0.78 (45.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:5173 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Shin Yang Group Bhd Business Description

Address Sublot 153, Parent Lot 70, Jalan Kuala Baram, Kuala Baram, Miri, SWK, MYS, 98100
Shin Yang Group Bhd core business operations span shipping, shipbuilding, and ship repair. Its shipping division is diversified across multiple segments, including dry bulk, liquid bulk, containerised cargo, coastal shipping, barge and tug operations, as well as regional logistics with door-to-door solutions. Its segments are: Shipbuilding, ship repair and fabrication of metal structures; Shipping, which carries out shipping business in coastal and regional routes within Malaysia and ASEAN region and international routes; Land transportation and hiring services; Manufacturing, distribution and marketing of industrial gases, provision of services and maintenance, and trading in welding equipment and machinery; Automotive dealership, which generates maximum revenue; and Others.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKLS:5173

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RM0.78
Price
RM1.42
GF Value