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Yubo International Biotech (Yubo International Biotech) Predictability Rank


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What is Yubo International Biotech Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Yubo International Biotech Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Yubo International Biotech Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Yubo International Biotech (Yubo International Biotech) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Yubo International Biotech Ltd (OTCPK:YBGJ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
MHUA DXR BNGO POCI RVP OMIC FEMY MLSS UEEC PDEX ISRG XPAR:EL BDX TSE:7741 XSWX:ALC WST OCSE:COLO B RMD TSE:4543 XSWX:STMN
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
31 Xishiku Avenue, Room 105, Building 5, Xicheng District, Beijing, CHN, 100034
Website
http://www.yubogroup.com
Yubo International Biotech Ltd is a technology company focused on the research and development and application of endometrial stem cells. It offers products and services under the brand VIVCELL. Its product offerings include healthcare products for the respiratory system, skincare products, hair care products, healthy beverages, and male and female personal care products. It also offers stem cell-related services including cell testing and health management consulting services. The company derives its revenue from the sale of nebulizers containing frozen tubes with medical fluid and from the sale of oral liquids health products. The nebulizers are sold directly to consumers on its online e-commerce platform.
Executives
Lina Liu 10 percent owner, officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary MAGNA-LAB, INC., ROOM 105, BUILDING 5, 31 XISHIKU AVENUE, XICHENG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Focus Draw Group Ltd 10 percent owner C/O YUBO INTERNATIONAL BIOTECH LIMITED, ROOM 105, BUILDING 5, 31 XISHIKU AVENUE, XICHENG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Boao Biotech Ltd 10 percent owner C/O YUBO INTERNATIONAL BIOTECH LIMITED, ROOM 105, BUILDING 5, 31 XISHIKU AVENUE, XICHENG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Flydragon International Ltd 10 percent owner C/O YUBO INTERNATIONAL BIOTECH LIMITED, ROOM 105, BUILDING 5, 31 XISHIKU AVENUE, XICHENG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Chinaone Technology Ltd 10 percent owner C/O YUBO INTERNATIONAL BIOTECH LIMITED, ROOM 105, BUILDING 5, 31 XISHIKU AVENUE, XICHENG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Bai Zhihui director MAGNU-LAB, INC., ROOM 105, BUILDING 5, 31 XISHIKU AVENUE, XICHENG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Wang Jun director, officer: President and CEO MAGNA-LAB, INC., ROOM 105, BUILDING 5, 31 XISHIKU AVENUE, XICHENG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Wang Yang director MAGNA-LAB, INC., ROOM 105, BUILDING 5, 31 XISHIKU AVENUE, XICHENG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Joel S Kanter director C/O APPLIED UV, INC., 150 N. MACQUESTEN PKWY, MOUNT VERNON NY 10550
Jonathan Adereth director C/O MEDIVISION, PO BOX 45 INDUSTRIAL PARK, YOKNEAM ISRAEL
Magna Acquisition Llc 10 percent owner 8000 TOWERS CRESCENT DRIVE, SUITE 1070, VIENNA VA 22182
Kenneth C Riscica officer: Treasurer and Secretary C/O MAGNA-LAB INC., 6800 JERICHO TURNPIKE, SUITE 120W, SYOSSET NY 11791
Lawrence A Minkoff director, officer: Chairman, President, CSO C/O MAGNA-LAB INC, 6800 JERICHO TURNPIKE, SUITE 120W, SYOSSET NY 11791
Jerome M Feldman director C/O MAGNA-LAB INC, 6800 JERICHO TURNPIKE SUITE 120W, SYOSSET NY 11791
Seymour Kessler director C/O MAGNA-LAB INC., 6800 JERICHO TURNPIKE #120W, SYOSSET NY 11791

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