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Zalatoris II Acquisition (Zalatoris II Acquisition) Predictability Rank


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What is Zalatoris II Acquisition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Zalatoris II Acquisition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Zalatoris II Acquisition Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Zalatoris II Acquisition (Zalatoris II Acquisition) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
31 Hudson Yards, 11th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10005
Zalatoris II Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Adeel Rouf director 31 HUDSON YARDS, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Pantelis Dimitriou director 99 WALL STREET, SUITE 5801, NEW YORK NY 10005
Paul Michael Davis director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 31 HUDSON YARDS, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
J. Streicher Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 99 WALL STREET, #5801, NEW YORK NY 10005
Llewellyn Farquharson director 31 HUDSON YARDS, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Xp Inc. 10 percent owner 20, GENESIS CLOSE, GRAND CAYMAN, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY-1-1208
Xpac Sponsor Llc 10 percent owner AV. PRESIDENTE JUSCELINO KUBITSCHEK, 1909, 25TH FLOOR, TORRE SOL, SAO PAULO D5 04543-907
Fabio Kann officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O XPAC ACQUISITION CORP., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Guilherme Teixeira officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O XPAC ACQUISITION CORP., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Chu Chiu Kong director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O XPAC ACQUISITION CORP., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Tedde Camilo De Oliveira director C/O XPAC ACQUISITION CORP., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Marcos Peixoto director C/O XPAC ACQUISITION CORP., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Denis Pedreira director C/O XPAC ACQUISITION CORP., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Ana Cabral-gardner director C/O XPAC ACQUISITION CORP., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036

Zalatoris II Acquisition (Zalatoris II Acquisition) Headlines