Motorsport Games (Motorsport Games) Predictability Rank

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What is Motorsport Games Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Motorsport Games Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Motorsport Games (Motorsport Games) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » Motorsport Games Inc (NAS:MSGM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5972 NE 4th Avenue, Miami, FL, USA, 33137

Website

https://www.motorsportgames.com

Motorsport Games Inc is a motorsport network company that combines engaging video games with esports competitions and content for racing fans and gamers around the globe. The company has its reportable segments into the development and publishing of interactive racing video games, entertainment content and services and the organization and facilitation of esports tournaments, competitions, and events for the licensed racing games as well as on behalf of third-party video game racing series and other video game publishers. Majority of the revenue is earned from Gaming.

Executives

Mike Zoi	10 percent owner	12100 NE 16TH AVENUE, #210, NORTH MIAMI FL 33161
Navtej Singh Sunner	director	115 OVERSLADE LANE, RUGBY X0 CV226EE
Andrew P. Jacobson	director	3825 N. PAULINA STREET, CHICAGO IL 60613
John Delta	officer: Interim CFO	8800 HSC PARKWAY, BRYAN TX 77807
Peter R Moore	director	200 DOMAIN DRIVE, STRATHAM NH 03885
Jonathan New	officer: Chief Financial Officer	12100 NE 16TH AVENUE, #210, NORTH MIAMI FL 33161
Francesco Piovanetti	director	CITY VIEW PLAZA I SUITE 800, CARR. 165KM, 1.2, GUAYNABO PR 00968
Dmitry Kozko	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1450 SOUTH MIAMI AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33130
Neil T Anderson	director	125 BROAD STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Rob Dyrdek	director	3130 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 600, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Stephen Hood	officer: President	SILVERSTONE INNOVATION CENTRE, SILVERSTONE X0 NN12 8GX
James William Allen	director	1 ETON STREET,, MOTORSPORT NETWORK, RICHMOND, LONDON X0 TW9 1AG
Motorsport Network, Llc	10 percent owner	5972 NE 4TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33137